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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193d | AmusingHippo | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,262 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | Odysseus74 fills | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,242 | +$82 +0.3% | 4 |
| 194d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,674 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 198d | AmusingHippo | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$34 +1.5% | 4 |
| 198d |  taut-dogwood | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$18 +1.5% | 4 |
| 200d | KiernanMeister | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$59 +3.1% | 4 |
| 201d | 1nd7392nd821lu | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,831 | −$54 −2.9% | — |
| 203d | Ashamed-Sentiment | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$18 +1.8% | 4 |
| 206d | BrilliantBandit2 fills | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,465 | +$430 +5.1% | 4 |
| 211d | 0xbc41…b4693 fills | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | +$115 +3.1% | 4 |
| 226d | Jawnbeary | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | −$121 −7.0% | — |
| 226d |  knrad | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$89 +5.4% | 4 |
| 227d | Etak3 fills | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $5,109 | +$1,180 +23% | 4 |
| 227d | SaylorMoon | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,184 | +$428 +10% | 4 |
| 227d | 1nd7392nd821lu | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$483 +34% | 4 |
| 252d | DanyBedard | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | −$1,130 −100% | 4 |
| 270d | boppa | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 312d | cocococococo | Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$1,039 +43% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period of time between December 12, 2025 and June 30, 2026, otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if Parliament is dissolved before June 30, 2026. This markets resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the Liberal Party of Canada, not any alliance or coalition of which it may be a part. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.