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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$2B | 0% | −28 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$1B | 100% | +1 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$6B | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$3B | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$4B | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >$1.5B | 100% | +30 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$800M | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$600M | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | jqqfree | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,330 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | >$1.5B | SellYes>99¢ | $16,159 | −$16 −0.1% | — | |
| 174d | xOvation | >$1.5B | SellYes>99¢ | $7,662 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | >$600M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,602 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 174d | Matelleti | >$1.5B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,188 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Swift-CandidacyNew account | >$3B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,844 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Swift-CandidacyNew account | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $18,166 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | tphhh2 fills | >$1.5B | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,652 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | pbgg | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,619 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | chuks-666 | >$1.5B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | asketdao | >$1.5B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Hpp36 fills | >$1.5B | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $8,415 | +$2,485 +30% | 2 |
| 175d | lilfmdude | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,563 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | FFFly | >$1.5B | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | Noteagle | >$1.5B | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,643 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 175d | >$1.5B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,207 | +$103 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 175d | I-have-no-money-dont-win-against-me | >$1.5B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,672 | +$62 +2.3% | 2 |
| 175d | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $513,796 | +$541 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 175d | MojAlaki2 fills | >$1.5B | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,613 | −$374 −8.1% | — |
| 175d | >$1.5B | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,721 | +$269 +9.9% | 2 | |
| 175d | gydmasg | >$1.5B | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$126 +9.9% | 2 |
| 175d | mamulikk | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | Marioy | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,946 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | Matelleti | >$1B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,110 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 175d | niqqaping | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,354 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | >$2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | shabo13 | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,394 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | rozyloh | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $7,277 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | Maoshifu123 | >$2B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,196 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | nabokov | >$1.5B | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$520 +52% | 2 |
| 175d | goilahoan | >$2B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,386 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 175d | niqqaping | >$3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,910 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | Vitaaalya4 fills | >$2B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,855 | +$180 +1.0% | 2 |
| 175d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389353 fills | >$2B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,306 | +$94 +1.0% | 2 |
| 175d | volynets | >$2B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | −$21 −1.1% | — |
| 175d | gydmasg2 fills | >$2B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,162 | +$100 +1.6% | 2 |
| 175d | mlinw2 fills | >$2B | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,443 | −$830 −15% | — |
| 175d | mlinw | >$3B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,305 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | 0xa0bf…94aa | >$3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | >$2B | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$37 −2.5% | — | |
| 175d | Adornono | >$1.5B | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,373 | +$2,373 +100% | — |
| 175d | horiz0n2 fills | >$1.5B | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $8,966 | −$8,966 −100% | 8 |
| 175d | twnormie | >$4B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,415 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | megaethtothemoon2 fills | >$2B | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,580 | +$398 +6.0% | 2 |
| 175d | Cryptoking124 | >$2B | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | −$58 −3.2% | — |
| 175d | >$2B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | >$3B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,547 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 175d | DenchikSV | >$2B | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,540 | −$186 −4.1% | — |
| 175d | >$1.5B | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | −$2,405 −96% | — | |
| 175d | >$1.5B | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | −$2,048 −89% | — | |
| 175d | rozyloh2 fills | >$2B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$208 +4.2% | 2 |
| 175d | AndreyGG | >$2B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$42 +4.2% | 2 |
| 175d | >$4B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,055 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 175d | sportbetss | >$3B | SellNo>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | >$2B | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $30,611 | −$12,838 −42% | — | |
| 175d | Moonshot1019 | >$1B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,846 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 175d | >$2B | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$98 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 175d | >$1.5B | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$1,174 +100% | 2 |
This is a market on MegaETH FDV
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >$2B means the market gives it about 0%.