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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 541d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 543d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,059 | +$775 +15% | 4 | |
| 543d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$17 +1.2% | 4 |
| 550d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,759 | −$255 −9.3% | — | |
| 551d | HLB-377 | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$86 −5.9% | — |
| 557d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | −$74 −5.3% | — | |
| 558d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,842 | +$160 +4.2% | 4 | |
| 559d | lowrisk242 fills | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,776 | +$295 +11% | 4 |
| 561d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | −$123 −6.4% | — | |
| 564d | Fisher-Johnson3 fills | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,524 | −$872 −8.3% | — |
| 568d | Ineedhole | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | −$189 −13% | — |
| 569d | Fisher-Johnson2 fills | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,396 +14% | 4 |
| 570d | nonkenny903 fills | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,646 | +$684 +15% | 4 |
| 570d | kaj43 | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,313 | −$1,313 −100% | 6 |
| 570d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$189 −15% | — | |
| 571d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$490 +16% | 4 | |
| 571d | Spiffy-Disarmament | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$213 +18% | 4 |
| 571d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$232 +19% | 4 | |
| 572d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$211 −16% | — | |
| 573d | dzsibenaja | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$420 +18% | 4 |
| 573d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$213 +19% | 4 | |
| 573d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | +$636 +25% | 4 | |
| 574d | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | +$410 +27% | 4 | |
| 576d | Ineedhole | Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$246 +18% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Mike Waltz will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of Waltz’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.