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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 783d | mexicoo | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,626 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 784d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,068 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 785d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,720 | −$74 −1.1% | — | |
| 793d | commeowder | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,092 | +$87 +4.2% | 4 |
| 794d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,454 | +$340 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 797d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,077 | +$306 +6.0% | 4 | |
| 805d | khabib-706 | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$99 +6.4% | 4 |
| 807d | Prize-Impostor | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | −$115 −7.7% | — |
| 808d | Dufu | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,075 | +$244 +7.9% | 4 |
| 809d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | −$118 −9.9% | — | |
| 811d | jhfjsmkkdsd | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$99 +8.7% | 4 |
| 812d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,188 | +$724 +12% | 4 | |
| 812d | Euxeus | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,575 | −$2,575 −100% | 8 |
| 817d | Prize-Impostor | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$107 +7.2% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hassan Nasrallah remains the Secretary-General of Hezbollah uninterrupted from July 27, to August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.