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Polymarket wallet 0xb15ce584a8ba39218b33c242224240d76bede941 · on Polymarket since Jul 29, 2024 · also shown as Thorny-Hero
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump wins every swing state?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 98 | 20¢ → 100¢ | $98 | +$78 +390% |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 764 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 807d | Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes7¢ | $50 |
| 817d | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 817d | Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | BuyNo9¢ | $10 |
| 817d | Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday? | BuyYes18¢ | $17 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.