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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,983 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 296d | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 297d | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 311d | slamjampeter5 fills | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,019 | +$473 +3.0% | 4 |
| 348d | h0385960273552 fills | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,672 | −$161 −4.4% | — |
| 357d | QMG-CORE | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,654 | +$82 +3.1% | 4 |
| 363d | alex421 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$35 +3.3% | 4 |
| 363d | peet-752 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | +$59 +3.3% | 4 |
| 378d | h0385960273552 fills | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,514 | +$227 +5.0% | 4 |
| 379d | johnthek | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$48 +3.5% | 4 |
| 507d | slamjampeter | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$103 −9.9% | — |
| 606d | ChrisV | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | +$155 +11% | 4 |
| 606d | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | +$155 +11% | 4 |
On February 21, a bat coronavirus that has the capacity to spread to humans, similar to the one that caused the COVID-19 pandemic, was reportedly discovered (See: https://www.newsweek.com/new-coronavirus-bat-chinese-lab-2034232) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between February 21, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.