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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Pappas (D) | 92% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 91¢ · 92¢ (1¢) | $3.62K | in 11d |
| John E. Sununu (R) | 9% | — | −2 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $2.97K | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h | Rpzcz | Chris Pappas (D) | SellYes91¢ → 92¢ | $1,460 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 1d | DavidxDavid | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes92¢ | $1,834 | −$4 −0.2% | 26 |
| 3d | sweetj | John E. Sununu (R) | SellNo90¢ → 92¢ | $1,327 | −$22 −1.7% | — |
| 3d | SquirrelTheMerchant | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyNo90¢ → 92¢ | $1,290 | +$22 +1.7% | 27 |
| 3d | dzsibenaja | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes89¢ → 92¢ | $2,733 | +$77 +2.8% | 27 |
| 4d | smd333 | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes89¢ → 92¢ | $1,000 | +$28 +2.8% | 27 |
| 4d |  AngryRhino | John E. Sununu (R) | SellNo89¢ → 92¢ | $13,032 | −$366 −2.8% | — |
| 7d | SAPolitcsSeer2 fills | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 92¢ | $10,047 | +$201 +2.0% | 27 |
| 7d |  scottilicious2 fills | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes89¢ → 92¢ | $9,381 | +$226 +2.4% | 27 |
| 7d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes89¢ → 92¢ | $1,780 | +$50 +2.8% | 27 |
| 12d |  Belgaron | John E. Sununu (R) | SellNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,069 | −$30 −2.8% | — |
| 12d | Belgaron | Chris Pappas (D) | SellYes89¢ → 92¢ | $2,811 | −$79 −2.8% | — |
| 17d |  Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $9,259 | +$577 +6.2% | 29 |
| 17d | Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes87¢ → 92¢ | $7,772 | +$402 +5.2% | 29 |
| 19d | inrock302 fills | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes87¢ → 92¢ | $3,337 | +$173 +5.2% | 29 |
| 20d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | John E. Sununu (R) | SellNo83¢ → 92¢ | $2,196 | −$224 −10% | — |
| 22d | Rpzcz | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes87¢ → 92¢ | $1,400 | +$68 +4.9% | 28 |
| 24d | WarriorH2 fills | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyNo84¢ → 92¢ | $3,687 | +$327 +8.9% | 31 |
| 26d | champtgram | Chris Pappas (D) | SellYes85¢ → 92¢ | $4,351 | −$333 −7.7% | — |
| 29d | pantomime | John E. Sununu (R) | SellNo85¢ → 92¢ | $6,835 | −$485 −7.1% | — |
| 31d | Gruesome-Gambling | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes84¢ → 92¢ | $1,212 | +$108 +8.9% | 31 |
| 32d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $2,261 | +$160 +7.1% | 30 |
| 33d | AngryRhino | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyNo81¢ → 92¢ | $17,820 | +$2,310 +13% | 33 |
| 34d | champtgram | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes81¢ → 92¢ | $4,894 | +$634 +13% | 33 |
| 35d | PetuniaPettigrew | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyNo19¢ → 8¢ | $2,246 | −$1,241 −55% | 45 |
| 35d | ClauseAI | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyYes18¢ → 9¢ | $5,447 | −$2,897 −53% | 50 |
| 51d | DBomb | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes85¢ → 92¢ | $2,000 | +$158 +7.9% | 30 |
| 63d | Belgaron | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes87¢ → 92¢ | $1,373 | +$71 +5.2% | 29 |
| 64d |  Seutervoinen | Chris Pappas (D) | BuyYes86¢ → 92¢ | $7,664 | +$490 +6.4% | 29 |
| 77d | sweetj | John E. Sununu (R) | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $1,034 | +$79 +7.6% | 30 |
Seutervoinen13,105 sharesscottilicious10,500 shares
tunatyler4,000 shares
FrozenParasite1,639 shares
probability1,391 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 92¢ for Chris Pappas (D) means the market gives it about 92%.