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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 10 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 12 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 19 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409d |  ImJustKen | September 12 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
Backtothefuture999292 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Prime Minister of France, succeeding François Bayrou, is appointed between September 8 and September 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for September 10 means the market gives it about 100%.