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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Minority | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liberal Majority | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Conservative Majority | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Conservative Minority | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522d | elPolloLoco4 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $54,844 | −$55 −0.1% | — |
| 522d | DABAI-4882 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $14,517 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | Isaacb122 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $8,974 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 523d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $14,924 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 523d |  JJo | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,210 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | itakeyourmoney | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | MAGA.MUSK3 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $39,268 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | CapMeng | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $7,573 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 523d |  cy6erpunker | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | 033033033 | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,954 | +$46 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA4 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $64,044 | +$588 +0.9% | 4 |
| 523d |  Car2 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $34,287 | −$94 −0.3% | — |
| 523d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,969 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 523d |  duderr2 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $3,150 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 523d |  aenews2 | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $130,276 | −$424 −0.3% | — |
| 523d | nonkenny902 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,832 | −$113 −3.0% | — |
| 523d |  arjennnnn | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $4,234 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 523d |  Bertapotamous | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $3,457 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 524d | rbczz | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,456 | +$39 +0.2% | 4 |
| 524d | torrest | Liberal Minority | SellYes100¢ | $14,535 | −$73 −0.5% | — |
| 524d | Ontariotrucker | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $38,928 | −$162 −0.4% | — |
| 524d | Liquidifier | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,705 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 524d | spark12 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,469 | −$355 −4.8% | — |
| 524d | DeathtoIslam | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,032 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 524d | PutsOnPeace | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 524d | Ivan🥳2 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,109 | −$100 −1.1% | — |
| 524d | BlindGibbon | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $1,496 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 524d |  UwO5 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $17,421 | −$380 −2.2% | — |
| 524d | duderr | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d | Ontariotrucker2 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,051 | +$39 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d | macrosteaks | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $16,564 | −$38 −0.2% | — |
| 524d | Liquidifier | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $6,004 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 524d | nylenor | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,083 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d | woshiLimpeh | Liberal Minority | SellYes>99¢ | $9,013 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 525d | Car2 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,948 | +$43 +0.3% | 4 |
| 525d | JOHNOO | Liberal Minority | SellYes100¢ | $4,103 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 525d |  imtiredb0ss | Liberal Minority | SellYes100¢ | $1,234 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 525d |  Red781RuM | Liberal Minority | SellYes100¢ | $1,693 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 525d |  HNIC | Liberal Minority | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,053 | −$36 −0.6% | — |
| 525d | imtiredb0ss2 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | +$34 +1.6% | 4 |
| 525d | imtiredb0ss | Liberal Majority | SellNo>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 525d | elPolloLoco | Liberal Majority | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 525d |  AgricultureSecretary | Liberal Majority | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,967 | +$27 +0.1% | 4 |
| 525d | Bertastan | Liberal Majority | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $29,154 | −$592 −2.0% | — |
| 525d | aenews25 fills | Liberal Majority | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $138,965 | +$919 +0.7% | 4 |
| 525d | cigarettes2 fills | Conservative Majority | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,527 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 525d | aenews24 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $98,896 | +$1,192 +1.2% | 4 |
| 525d |  Cajetan2 fills | Conservative Majority | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,125 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 525d | UwO3 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,114 | +$226 +1.9% | 4 |
| 526d | haohua3 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,807 | +$270 +2.8% | 4 |
| 526d | WildRumpus25 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $14,180 | −$732 −5.2% | — |
| 526d | cigarettes13 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,807 | +$34 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | cigarettes8 fills | Liberal Majority | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,529 | +$387 +2.5% | 4 |
| 526d | HNIC | Liberal Majority | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,858 | +$206 +3.5% | 4 |
| 526d | HNIC2 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,822 | +$264 +3.4% | 4 |
| 527d | elPolloLoco13 fills | Liberal Minority | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $51,367 | +$1,738 +3.4% | 4 |
| 527d | RacistHitler | Liberal Majority | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | −$69 −5.7% | — |
| 527d | fallingvega3 fills | Liberal Minority | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $18,143 | −$1,363 −7.5% | — |
| 528d |  CHOPPING | Liberal Minority | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,626 | −$574 −6.7% | — |
| 528d | hsy5652 | Liberal Minority | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | −$158 −5.6% | — |
BabyYoda123,000 sharesThe 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition that forms after the next Canadian Parliament after the election. The government will be considered formed once the legislative process for forming a government is completed and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. If the next Canadian Government after the election is not announced by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Canadian government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Liberal Minority means the market gives it about 100%.