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Polymarket wallet 0x43c40767e50d872280d2578b7159fa0e7f18556c · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2024 · also shown as Fatal-Hovercraft
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 56 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$0 +0.3% |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 8 | 98¢ → 94¢ | $8 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Medina win by 7-12%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US strike on Syria by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.