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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None in 2025 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Macron - France President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Erdoğan - Türkiye President | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Xi - General Secretary of the CCP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Netanyahu - Israel PM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Albanese - Australia PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Newsom - California Governor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Milei - Argentina President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Starmer - UK PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Trump - USA President | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Putin - Russia President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Lula da Silva - Brazil President | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Lecornu - France PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Maduro - Venezuela President | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Takaichi - Japan PM | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Schoof - Netherlands PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Abbas - President of Palestine | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Merz - German Chancellor | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Sánchez - Spanish PM | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | cigarettes | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | alliswell | None in 2025 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,896 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | wokerjoesleeper | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  ULYSSES18 | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,343 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d | ULYSSES18 | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  iamkrisas2 fills | None in 2025 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,437 | +$63 +1.4% | 4 |
| 298d |  Zilong | None in 2025 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,419 | −$230 −1.9% | — |
| 300d | hollyber | None in 2025 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,292 | +$71 +2.2% | 4 |
| 300d |  uncleroger | None in 2025 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | +$56 +2.7% | 4 |
| 301d |  KimJonEn | None in 2025 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$48 +2.8% | 4 |
| 301d | influenz.eth | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | influenz.eth | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | flow-trader-at-optiver4 fills | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,203 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 302d |  Dapsy | None in 2025 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$39 +2.8% | 4 |
| 302d | flow-trader-at-optiver3 fills | Zelenskyy - Ukraine President | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,133 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 304d |  emcor | None in 2025 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,674 | −$80 −4.8% | — |
| 305d | Kjmo | None in 2025 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$60 −4.3% | — |
| 306d | Zilong | None in 2025 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,313 | +$336 +2.7% | 4 |
| 306d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | +$41 +2.4% | 4 |
| 306d | ImHereForTheRewards3 fills | None in 2025 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,969 | +$279 +4.7% | 4 |
| 307d | JT716 | None in 2025 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$48 +3.3% | 4 |
| 307d | rmnfd | None in 2025 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$39 +3.3% | 4 |
| 310d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 311d |  Ffrcbjitefgjkoujj2 fills | None in 2025 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | −$127 −5.5% | — |
| 312d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Putin - Russia President | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d |  NANACHAN | None in 2025 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,909 | +$100 +5.3% | 4 |
| 312d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Albanese - Australia PM | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | Contrarian - 7451 | Maduro - Venezuela President | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$82 +7.0% | 4 |
| 314d | skjnd | None in 2025 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$85 +7.8% | 4 |
| 315d | Anon5566 | None in 2025 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,432 | +$219 +9.0% | 4 |
| 317d | Imperfect-Council | None in 2025 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | +$290 +8.7% | 4 |
| 330d | bihu | None in 2025 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,471 | −$1,118 −25% | — |
| 330d | qiqiu | None in 2025 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,294 | −$1,073 −25% | — |
| 331d | bihu | None in 2025 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,415 | +$1,174 +27% | 4 |
| 331d | qiqiu | None in 2025 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$1,127 +27% | 4 |
| 331d | innorsen | None in 2025 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,480 | −$1,120 −25% | — |
| 331d | zhusun | None in 2025 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,120 | −$1,030 −25% | — |
| 331d | ollyso | None in 2025 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,520 | −$1,130 −25% | — |
| 331d | liujiea | None in 2025 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,440 | −$1,110 −25% | — |
| 331d | leach3 fills | None in 2025 | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $3,444 | −$3,444 −100% | 11 |
| 331d | liujiea | None in 2025 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,385 | +$1,165 +27% | 4 |
| 339d | aze5y354856464riswrr | Schoof - Netherlands PM | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | −$21 −1.2% | — |
| 339d | 54e7y0ghd45t3x | Schoof - Netherlands PM | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | −$22 −1.2% | — |
| 339d | fxgtk86y7ukrfs56 | Schoof - Netherlands PM | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | −$22 −1.2% | — |
| 339d | aze5y354856464riswrr | Schoof - Netherlands PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | +$21 +1.2% | 4 |
| 339d | 54e7y0ghd45t3x | Schoof - Netherlands PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | +$22 +1.2% | 4 |
| 339d | fxgtk86y7ukrfs56 | Schoof - Netherlands PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$22 +1.2% | 4 |
| 339d | t6reiko567tdexmfrd | Schoof - Netherlands PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$23 +1.2% | 4 |
| 339d | 7io6687ed51u23sr4 | Schoof - Netherlands PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$20 +1.2% | 4 |
| 339d | fdjkgy98eoi | Schoof - Netherlands PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | +$22 +1.2% | 4 |
| 345d | SRGSDGVDTHAEDFHBFD4G54DF | Trump - USA President | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 345d | SRS4DF123SD123SDGDTHAE | Trump - USA President | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 345d | SRGSDGVDTHAEDFHBFD4G54DF | Trump - USA President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$18 +0.9% | 4 |
| 345d | SRS4DF123SD123SDGDTHAE | Trump - USA President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 345d | SDGBVDFGBDF | Trump - USA President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 345d | SRGDTHSDFGVSDSD | Trump - USA President | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$16 +0.8% | 4 |
| 346d | mbncxbasr | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,034 | +$18 +0.6% | 4 |
| 346d | hgfjshfghsx | Netanyahu - Israel PM | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
esrtsehgtsfdghb20 shares
OneFluffyBunny1,314 sharesThis market will resolve according to the second individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for None in 2025 means the market gives it about 100%.