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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bongani Mathae | 56% | −3 pts | −8 pts | 37¢ · 75¢ (38¢) | — | in 11d |
| Vusimuzi Soqaga | 25% | −8 pts | −8 pts | 2¢ · 47¢ (44¢) | — | in 11d |
| Werner Pretorius | 21% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 5¢ · 36¢ (31¢) | — | in 11d |
| Lulaman Oditi-Titi | 12% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 12¢ · 12¢ (<1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Gregory Nthatisi | 7% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 10¢ (7¢) | — | in 11d |
| Motshewa Tladi | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 11d |
| Sekhopi Malebo | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 11d |
| Thabo Manyoni | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 11d |
| Sam Matiase | 4% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 11d |
| Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Gregory Nthatisi | BuyNo48¢ → 94¢ | $3,554 | +$3,435 +97% | 11 |
| 58d |  FrozenParasite | Gregory Nthatisi | BuyYes41¢ → 7¢ | $1,212 | −$1,022 −84% | 10 |
LornaPredicts10 shares
Dr.PNL29 sharesMunicipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 56¢ for Bongani Mathae means the market gives it about 56%.