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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 1 | 100% | +42 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| On or prior to August 25 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 42¢ | — | ended |
| August 26 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 27 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 28 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 29 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 30 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 31 | 0% | −32 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 2 | 0% | −13 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 3 | 0% | −10 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 4 | 0% | −21 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 5 | 0% | −2 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 6 | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 7 | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 8 | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 9 | 0% | −1 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 10 | 0% | −2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 11 | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 12 | 0% | −3 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 13 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 14 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 16 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 17 | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 18 | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 19 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 20 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 21 | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 22 | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 23 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 24 | 0% | −3 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 25 | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 26 | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 27 | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 28 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 29 | 0% | −6 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No release by September 30 | 0% | −9 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for September 1 means the market gives it about 100%.