| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 9,379 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $9,186 | +$1,261 +16% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 9,453 | 49¢ → 93¢ | $8,744 | +$4,101 +88% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9,238 | 51¢ → 88¢ | $8,083 | +$3,394 +72% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,370 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $6,182 | +$267 +4.5% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 7,058 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $5,752 | −$94 −1.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,602 | 68¢ → 83¢ | $5,447 | +$946 +21% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,926 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $4,769 | +$173 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 5,003 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $4,738 | +$233 +5.2% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 15,318 | 15¢ → 30¢ | $4,519 | +$2,150 +91% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 5,876 | 42¢ → 48¢ | $2,844 | +$390 +16% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,899 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $2,800 | +$316 +13% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 2,838 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $2,729 | +$796 +41% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 3,004 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $2,719 | +$396 +17% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,776 | 40¢ → 92¢ | $2,540 | +$1,438 +131% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,065 | 67¢ → 60¢ | $2,419 | −$287 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,983 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $1,969 | −$11 −0.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 9,199 | 48¢ → 20¢ | $1,840 | −$2,566 −58% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,842 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $1,704 | +$157 +10% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,749 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $1,703 | +$274 +19% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,816 | 65¢ → 90¢ | $1,625 | +$445 +38% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 1,598 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1,538 | +$156 +11% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 7,462 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $1,455 | −$1,007 −41% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,750 | 22¢ → 38¢ | $1,406 | +$569 +68% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 1,641 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $1,402 | +$85 +6.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,911 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $1,388 | +$873 +169% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,712 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $1,388 | −$476 −26% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,060 | 35¢ → 19¢ | $1,306 | −$1,157 −47% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,625 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $1,243 | −$58 −4.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,602 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $1,241 | +$112 +9.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 13,798 | 4¢ → 9¢ | $1,207 | +$719 +147% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,421 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $1,081 | +$316 +41% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,105 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $1,061 | +$126 +14% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,156 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $1,058 | +$110 +12% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,197 | 60¢ → 88¢ | $1,047 | +$329 +46% |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 158d | No | 1,077 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $1,024 | +$486 +90% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 1,648 | 53¢ → 61¢ | $1,000 | +$123 +14% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,256 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $973 | +$86 +9.7% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 1,110 | 67¢ → 87¢ | $966 | +$218 +29% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7,075 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $955 | −$258 −21% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 969 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $951 | +$177 +23% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,256 | 21¢ → 72¢ | $901 | +$637 +241% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,818 | 40¢ → 12¢ | $899 | −$2,200 −71% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,448 | 36¢ → 26¢ | $896 | −$339 −27% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,904 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $886 | +$171 +24% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 908 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $859 | +$93 +12% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 848 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $817 | +$26 +3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,122 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $780 | +$189 +32% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 3,218 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $771 | −$690 −47% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 797 | 18¢ → 94¢ | $745 | +$603 +422% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 22,391 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $728 | +$100 +16% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 1,162 | 50¢ → 62¢ | $720 | +$139 +24% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,772 | 49¢ → 41¢ | $718 | −$147 −17% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 755 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $718 | +$104 +17% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 994 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $671 | +$159 +31% |
| Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 906 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $657 | −$50 −7.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 786 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $641 | +$13 +2.0% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | No | 999 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $640 | +$105 +20% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,115 | 54¢ → 16¢ | $638 | −$1,580 −71% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 900 | 52¢ → 70¢ | $625 | +$156 +33% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 985 | 48¢ → 61¢ | $596 | +$124 +26% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 850 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $586 | +$43 +8.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 677 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $584 | +$39 +7.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 5,019 | 1¢ → 11¢ | $527 | +$488 +1244% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 618 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $525 | +$126 +32% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 555 | 65¢ → 93¢ | $513 | +$154 +43% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 532 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $497 | +$30 +6.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,479 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $483 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 515 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $461 | +$8 +1.7% |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Ends in 4d | No | 527 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $455 | +$42 +10% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 480 | 3¢ → 93¢ | $448 | +$432 +2814% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 459 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $446 | +$42 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | No | 653 | 80¢ → 68¢ | $445 | −$76 −15% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 460 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $439 | +$30 +7.3% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 447 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $439 | +$41 +10% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,976 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $432 | +$325 +306% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4,641 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $429 | +$99 +30% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,678 | 5¢ → 15¢ | $414 | +$292 +239% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 484 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $409 | +$37 +10.0% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 457 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $404 | +$68 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 390 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $384 | +$29 +8.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 69d | No | 397 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $382 | +$29 +8.1% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?Ends ended | Yes | 455 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $373 | +$33 +9.6% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 469 | 44¢ → 78¢ | $364 | +$155 +74% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 4,799 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $360 | −$300 −45% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,429 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $357 | +$74 +26% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 2,115 | 2¢ → 17¢ | $349 | +$316 +966% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 371 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $343 | +$35 +11% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 404 | 53¢ → 85¢ | $341 | +$128 +60% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 1,427 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $337 | −$17 −4.7% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 449 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $330 | +$89 +37% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,425 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $327 | −$26 −7.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 758 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $326 | +$23 +7.5% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 365 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $323 | +$35 +12% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 333 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $321 | +$73 +30% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8,182 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $307 | −$725 −70% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4,560 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $299 | +$238 +393% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,281 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $289 | +$132 +85% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,596 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $280 | +$236 +534% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | No | 413 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $273 | +$8 +3.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 275 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $272 | +$45 +20% |
