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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Montenegro | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pedro Nuno Santos | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Ventura | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rui Rocha | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mariana Mortágua | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paulo Raimundo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523d | meropi | Pedro Nuno Santos | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,295 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 523d | dmark81 | André Ventura | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | citybean | Pedro Nuno Santos | SellNo>99¢ | $1,194 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 523d | nndmg | André Ventura | SellNo>99¢ | $4,537 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 523d |  macrosteaks | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,025 | +$11 +0.4% | 10 |
| 523d | GermanyHunter | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,690 | +$110 +3.0% | 10 |
| 523d |  knrad | Pedro Nuno Santos | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$5 +0.5% | 10 |
| 523d | greg234 | Luís Montenegro | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | −$68 −4.7% | — |
| 523d | greg234 | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$43 +2.9% | 10 |
| 524d | jaehyun787 | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$50 +5.0% | 11 |
| 525d | meropi3 fills | André Ventura | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,693 | +$90 +2.4% | 10 |
| 525d |  bulborb | André Ventura | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,853 | +$41 +1.1% | 10 |
| 525d | nonkenny906 fills | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $12,572 | +$1,281 +10% | 10 |
| 525d | tryingout1 | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,107 | +$213 +10% | 12 |
| 525d | nndmg2 fills | André Ventura | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,326 | +$90 +2.7% | 10 |
| 527d | knrad2 fills | André Ventura | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,245 | +$58 +2.6% | 10 |
| 527d | BGN | Luís Montenegro | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | 13 |
| 527d | pennycolector1 | André Ventura | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,625 | +$375 +2.6% | 10 |
| 528d |  MechaHitlah2 fills | André Ventura | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,032 | +$90 +2.2% | 10 |
| 529d | lioumang | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$108 +8.3% | 11 |
| 529d | parlia | Luís Montenegro | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,277 | −$230 −10% | — |
| 533d | meropi | André Ventura | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 536d | parlia | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$106 +6.0% | 10 |
| 536d | noslajre | André Ventura | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 536d | Klimws23ok | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,864 | +$91 +3.2% | 10 |
| 538d | polyfabian2 fills | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,727 | +$455 +12% | 10 |
| 538d | hollister | Rui Rocha | SellNo>99¢ | $1,494 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 539d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Luís Montenegro | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 10 |
| 539d | hollister | Rui Rocha | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 539d | OrfeoFlux | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,500 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 539d | knrad | Luís Montenegro | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$145 −9.9% | — |
| 539d | kerrick | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,705 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 540d | kerrick | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,707 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 540d | OrfeoFlux | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,627 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 540d | FaustoMyst | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,416 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 540d | JoaquinX | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,695 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 541d | JoaquinX | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,697 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 541d | IvoWay | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,426 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 541d | FaustoMyst | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,417 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 541d | IvoWay | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,427 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 542d | citybean | Pedro Nuno Santos | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$215 +14% | 10 |
| 542d | EvandroDash | Mariana Mortágua | SellNo100¢ | $1,383 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 542d | jolley-439 | Mariana Mortágua | SellNo100¢ | $1,234 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 542d | jolley-439 | Mariana Mortágua | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,235 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 544d | tauren | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,176 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 544d | tauren | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,178 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 545d | Predictandbreathe | Pedro Nuno Santos | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | −$524 −18% | — |
| 545d | urner | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,336 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 546d | EvandroDash | Mariana Mortágua | BuyNo100¢ | $1,383 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 547d | yarrowby | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $2,373 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 548d | yarrowby | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,375 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 548d | hartley | Mariana Mortágua | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 549d | hartley | Mariana Mortágua | BuyNo100¢ | $1,403 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 549d | meredith | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $2,124 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 550d | meredith | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,126 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 550d | galbraith | Paulo Raimundo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,117 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 550d | urner | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,337 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 551d | Quintoresail | Rui Rocha | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 551d | Quintoresail | Rui Rocha | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,542 | +$7 +0.4% | 10 |
| 551d | galbraith | Paulo Raimundo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature. This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election. Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Luís Montenegro means the market gives it about 100%.