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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +2 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | bigricke | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | ears | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,417 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d |  beenraping | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,656 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 226d |  RememberAmalek | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,481 | +$40 +1.2% | 4 |
| 258d |  Justitia | Nipah virus in US by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,813 | +$69 +3.8% | 4 |
qortz136 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed human case of Nipah virus in the territory of the United States of America is reported between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.