Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | abuzzin | December 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 315d |  elmcap2 | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 354d |  BrightTiger2 fills | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | −$166 −6.5% | — |
| 358d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | December 31 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$87 −5.9% | — |
| 376d | pol762 fills | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,989 | +$176 +3.5% | 20 |
| 415d | inrock303 fills | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,792 | +$430 +7.4% | 20 |
| 480d | LBZone | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 481d |  DEGENKHAN | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 495d | Ted.K | December 31 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,762 | −$237 −13% | — |
| 499d |  TimJang | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,692 | +$31 +1.1% | 20 |
| 505d | baek | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$246 +14% | 20 |
| 515d |  O3O.legacy.0 | December 31 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | −$404 −20% | — |
| 533d | O3O.legacy.0 | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,597 | −$80 −3.1% | — |
| 564d | O3O.legacy.0 | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$50 +3.2% | 20 |
| 601d | Aelthorin | December 31 | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $11,895 | +$11,895 +100% | — |
| 601d | Vaedrix | December 31 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $73,918 | +$11,045 +15% | 20 |
Orko5,227 shares
EinPilsimWald500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of North Korea (Democratic People's Republic of Korea) and South Korea (Republic of Korea) between January 29, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between North Korean and South Korean military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, the deployment of balloons, audio broadcasts, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.