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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d |  basileiarhomaion | Nothing Ever Happens: August | SellNothing99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 60d |  Seutervoinen | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BuyNothing99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 |
| 77d | basileiarhomaion | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BuyNothing86¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$167 +16% | 4 |
| 81d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BuyNothing85¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$198 +18% | 4 |
TheMasterMind200 sharesThis market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law - Fed emergency rate cut - Iran targets Ukraine - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_August.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.