Careless-Carport

Polymarket wallet 0xb54ad0c3a0754a04fe4f930dc8bf14b915241526 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026

Positions now worth: $28.6
All-time profit: +$1.45K
Volume traded: $18.1K
All-time rank: #65,719
Markets traded: 36
Recent hit rate: 72%21 of last 29 closed

Open positions

7 markets · $28.6

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?Ends in 7d	Yes	381	26¢ → 8¢	$29	−$71 −71%
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustSettled - ready to redeem	Something	336	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$53 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	361	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	396	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	No	208	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$88 −100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	217	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	217	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	BuyYes26¢	$100
10d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	SellYes68¢	$111
16d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	BuyYes53¢	$89
18d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 7?	SellYes57¢	$217
23d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 7?	BuyYes25¢	$103
34d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	BuyYes46¢	$102
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	SellYes81¢	$42
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	SellYes82¢	$46
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?	SellYes61¢	$135
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?	SellYes59¢	$148
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	SellYes81¢	$99
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	BuyYes43¢	$104
36d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?	BuyYes21¢	$106
48d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	BuyYes38¢	$256
64d	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	BuyNo42¢	$92
66d	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	SellYes61¢	$297
66d	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	SellYes77¢	$298
73d	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	BuyYes41¢	$169
80d	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	SellYes60¢	$172
80d	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	BuyYes30¢	$157
84d	Nothing Ever Happens: August	BuySomething16¢	$2
84d	Nothing Ever Happens: August	BuySomething16¢	$1
84d	Nothing Ever Happens: August	BuySomething16¢	$50
93d	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	BuyYes27¢	$77
95d	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	SellYes85¢	$701
115d	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	BuyYes36¢	$313
129d	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	BuyYes62¢	$103
134d	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	BuyYes23¢	$53
134d	Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	BuyYes50¢	$104
139d	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes10¢	$41
141d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	SellYes79¢	$494
144d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in June?	BuyYes54¢	$346
144d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	SellNo85¢	$424
160d	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	SellYes30¢	$18
173d	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	BuyYes21¢	$13
178d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	BuyNo46¢	$51
180d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	BuyNo47¢	$100
184d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	BuyNo54¢	$100
184d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	SellYes67¢	$105
193d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	BuyYes63¢	$100
193d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	SellNo13¢	$39
193d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	BuyNo16¢	$50
194d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	SellNo51¢	$73
198d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	BuyNo21¢	$31
199d	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	SellNo99¢	$100
199d	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	SellYes68¢	$207
200d	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	BuyYes33¢	$100
201d	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	BuyNo99¢	$100
204d	Nothing Ever Happens: April	BuySomething70¢	$150
235d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SellYes58¢	$37
235d	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes26¢	$100
236d	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes59¢	$50
236d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyYes39¢	$25
237d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BuyNo7¢	$25
238d	US strikes Iraq by February 28?	SellYes13¢	$56
241d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SellNo99¢	$100
241d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BuyNo98¢	$100
242d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	SellYes47¢	$104
248d	Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	BuyYes9¢	$25
254d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BuyYes45¢	$100

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 29 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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