Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −38 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383d |  theta-thunberg | Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,409 | +$55 +1.0% | 4 |
| 383d |  Gemini456 | Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - French election called - Macron out as President of France - Lecornu out as French PM - Another France debt downgrade Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/France1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/France2.png
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.