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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 or more | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d |  scout | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,298 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 718d | therealbatman | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,806 | +$23 +0.1% | 10 |
| 718d | TimBalz | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,231 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 718d |  50Whence7 fills | 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,667 | +$311 +1.4% | 10 |
| 718d |  studmuffin696910 fills | 1 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $19,032 | −$1,019 −5.4% | — |
| 719d | Isaak👴 | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 719d | summitzf | 1 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,045 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 719d | viltalik5 fills | 1 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $12,469 | −$2,782 −22% | — |
| 719d |  LuckyStar-219 | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,174 | +$10 +0.3% | 10 |
| 719d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 1 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,161 | +$304 +3.3% | 10 |
| 719d | scout | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,442 | +$30 +0.4% | 10 |
| 720d |  d1k216 fills | 1 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,771 | +$1,153 +13% | 10 |
| 720d | viltalik | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,661 | +$27 +0.4% | 10 |
| 720d | AdamP13031988 | 1 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,517 | −$31 −0.7% | — |
| 721d | biggy | 1 | SellYes100¢ | $2,241 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 721d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a7 fills | 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $92,623 | +$904 +1.0% | 10 |
| 722d | Isaak👴2 fills | 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,080 | +$43 +0.9% | 10 |
| 722d | lupovinn5 fills | 2 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,797 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 722d | lupovinn5 fills | 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,802 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 |
| 723d | 50Whence9 fills | 2 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $52,746 | +$1,043 +2.0% | 10 |
| 723d | KennyM | 1 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$18 −1.2% | — |
| 724d | 50Whence6 fills | 3 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,995 | +$298 +1.9% | 10 |
| 724d |  debased3 fills | 1 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,001 | +$348 +7.0% | 10 |
| 724d | kingfisher2 fills | 1 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,918 | −$82 −1.4% | — |
| 725d |  bosshog | 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | +$27 +1.2% | 10 |
| 725d | Coordinated-Condor | 1 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | −$26 −1.6% | — |
| 725d | kungfutofu1 | 1 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | −$33 −1.5% | — |
| 726d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 1 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,512 | −$95 −1.5% | — |
| 726d | Joe1230 | 1 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | −$20 −1.3% | — |
| 727d | cigarettes | 4 or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,119 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 727d | cigarettes | 2 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 |
| 727d | cigarettes | 3 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,114 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 727d |  Erasmus. | 1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $43,495 | +$505 +1.2% | 10 |
| 727d | undertaker3 fills | 1 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $8,117 | −$1,832 −23% | — |
| 727d |  peasant2 fills | 1 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $6,026 | +$722 +12% | 10 |
| 728d | RougeVert | 1 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | −$37 −3.0% | — |
| 732d | d1k215 fills | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $14,286 | −$974 −6.8% | — |
| 732d |  ImJustKen6 fills | 1 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $13,326 | +$6,051 +45% | 10 |
| 734d | nada | 1 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$53 −3.9% | — |
| 734d | ExhaustedBoyBilly4 fills | 3 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,432 | −$316 −3.4% | — |
| 734d | Albert 1953 | 1 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,976 | −$123 −3.1% | — |
| 734d |  YIMBYcaucus🏡 | 1 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | +$61 +3.1% | 10 |
| 735d | ImJustKen3 fills | 3 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,588 | +$558 +7.4% | 10 |
| 735d | Let#39;sPrint | 1 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,201 | −$216 −5.2% | — |
| 735d |  MaverickMoves2 fills | 1 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,238 | −$638 −15% | — |
| 736d | Pmmmw | 4 or more | SellNo>99¢ | $1,041 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 736d | Pmmmw | 4 or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,042 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d | elPolloLoco | 3 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | −$48 −2.0% | — |
| 737d |  AvocadoLu | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,815 | −$116 −6.4% | — |
| 737d | AvocadoLu | 3 | SellNo100¢ | $1,821 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 738d | willy-wonka | 3 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 739d | debased | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$102 −6.4% | — |
| 739d | grahamr | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$82 −6.4% | — |
| 739d |  0xloren | 1 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$908 +4.5% | 10 |
| 740d | studmuffin6969 | 1 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 10 |
| 741d |  Squee | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | −$108 −6.4% | — |
| 741d | huanqiandg | 4 or more | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 741d | huanqiandg | 4 or more | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 741d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,074 | −$557 −6.1% | — |
| 741d |  just.some.guy | 1 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,478 | −$222 −6.4% | — |
This is a market group on the number of debates that take place between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris before November 5, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1 means the market gives it about 100%.