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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d |  sezo.eth | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Passionate-Left | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,852 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | FlyingPlaty3 fills | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,309 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 285d |  enri.hl3 fills | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,733 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 285d | Brokeboy7 | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,042 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 285d |  Parz1vaI | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,813 | −$35 −0.5% | — |
| 285d | sezo.eth2 fills | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,625 | +$375 +10% | 6 |
| 285d | Selloutlife | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,054 | +$216 +10% | 7 |
| 285d |  DerDon2 fills | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,268 | +$532 +16% | 6 |
| 287d |  MasonsConqueredRome | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$525 +27% | 8 |
Zeeqit2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 2-hour period between 12:00 PM and 1:59 PM ET on January 11, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-30 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant two-hour window. This will display the two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.