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Polymarket wallet 0x718498f333349af34df7225957b81d480c777703 · on Polymarket since Jun 8, 2025 · also shown as Peppery-Consistency
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,738 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$591 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $55 |
| 286d | Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? | BuyYes34¢ | $591 |
| 286d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18? | SellYes35¢ | $205 |
| 286d | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18? | BuyYes52¢ | $301 |
| 286d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellYes24¢ | $300 |
| 287d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $245 |
| 502d | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | SellYes41¢ | $48 |
| 503d | Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday? | BuyYes53¢ | $62 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.