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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | CiaoBilly | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 256d |  pepess | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$88 +6.3% | 21 |
| 256d |  aelihawking | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$78 +6.7% | 21 |
| 256d | valeoo | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$136 −11% | — |
| 256d | valeoo2 fills | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$198 +9.0% | 21 |
| 258d |  RememberAmalek | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,642 | +$240 +6.6% | 20 |
| 258d | CiaoBilly | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,105 | +$190 +9.0% | 21 |
| 259d |  Tenebrus7 | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$186 +9.9% | 21 |
Snow-White1,965 shares
news-trader1,071 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-by) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any one-hour period between market creation and February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-us-strikes-iran-in-february-over-50-by-feb-13 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a one-hour window. This will display a one-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.