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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-24M | 100% | +32 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <15M | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-18M | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 18-21M | 0% | −28 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 24-27M | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 27-30M | 0% | 0 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30M+ | 0% | 0 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | 21-24M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,538 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 405d |  Debosnys | 24-27M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,471 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 405d | Debosnys | 21-24M | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,792 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 405d |  lranon | 21-24M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,317 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 406d | lranon | 24-27M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by the Stokes Twins gets in the first 7 days after being posted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Stokes Twins do not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<15m". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the Stokes Twins YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@StokesTwins/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the Stokes Twins next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 21-24M means the market gives it about 100%.