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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Fairclough | 56% | +1 pts | +14 pts | 52¢ · 61¢ (9¢) | $46.6 | in 17d |
| Navdeep Bains | 36% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 32¢ · 39¢ (7¢) | $78.1 | in 17d |
| Stephanie Bowman | 5% | −1 pts | −15 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 17d |
| Eric Lombardi | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 17d |
| Dylan Marando | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 17d |
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aliiz81 sharesThe 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 56¢ for Lee Fairclough means the market gives it about 56%.