| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 202 | 18¢ → 92¢ | $185 | +$148 +408% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 80¢ | $160 | +$119 +289% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 150 | 28¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$105 +252% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 199 | 20¢ → 68¢ | $135 | +$95 +238% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 185 | 25¢ → 65¢ | $120 | +$75 +163% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 165 | 19¢ → 71¢ | $116 | +$85 +268% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 163 | 4¢ → 70¢ | $115 | +$108 +1692% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 125 | 28¢ → 91¢ | $113 | +$78 +218% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 330 | 19¢ → 32¢ | $106 | +$42 +66% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 130 | 16¢ → 80¢ | $104 | +$83 +396% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$86 +611% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 125 | 22¢ → 69¢ | $86 | +$58 +211% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 180 | 1¢ → 47¢ | $85 | +$83 +5705% |
| Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 6¢ → 94¢ | $75 | +$70 +1418% |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 79 | 24¢ → 95¢ | $75 | +$56 +291% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 110 | 1¢ → 68¢ | $74 | +$74 +9288% |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 80 | 3¢ → 93¢ | $74 | +$72 +3159% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 120 | 10¢ → 57¢ | $68 | +$56 +467% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 68¢ | $68 | +$36 +113% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 95 | 3¢ → 71¢ | $67 | +$65 +2654% |
| Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 180 | 4¢ → 37¢ | $67 | +$60 +950% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 173 | 4¢ → 38¢ | $65 | +$59 +956% |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Ends in 4d | Yes | 65 | 9¢ → 99¢ | $65 | +$59 +992% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 42¢ | $62 | +$46 +291% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 150 | 3¢ → 41¢ | $61 | +$56 +1286% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 63 | 10¢ → 96¢ | $60 | +$54 +864% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 69 | 3¢ → 88¢ | $60 | +$58 +3400% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$54 +998% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 65 | 14¢ → 91¢ | $59 | +$50 +532% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?Ends in 1d | Yes | 61 | 18¢ → 97¢ | $59 | +$48 +445% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 80 | 20¢ → 73¢ | $58 | +$42 +267% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | Yes | 160 | 16¢ → 36¢ | $58 | +$33 +131% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 250d | Yes | 120 | 9¢ → 48¢ | $57 | +$46 +436% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | Yes | 57 | 14¢ → 99¢ | $56 | +$48 +590% |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 65 | 11¢ → 86¢ | $56 | +$49 +708% |
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $56 | +$48 +653% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 50¢ | $55 | +$52 +1581% |
| Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 55¢ | $55 | +$50 +1038% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 55 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $55 | +$50 +999% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?Ends in 8h | Yes | 55 | 8¢ → 99¢ | $55 | +$50 +1224% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 123 | 2¢ → 45¢ | $55 | +$52 +1954% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 54 | 1¢ → 99¢ | $53 | +$53 +7731% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 51 | 8¢ → >99¢ | $51 | +$47 +1156% |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 7¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$46 +1386% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$48 +4382% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$48 +2946% |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Benoit Saint-Denis next?Ends in 246d | Yes | 150 | 6¢ → 33¢ | $49 | +$39 +420% |
| Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 4¢ → 61¢ | $48 | +$45 +1534% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 65 | 11¢ → 73¢ | $47 | +$40 +552% |
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$47 +9325% |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$41 +705% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 67 | 3¢ → 70¢ | $46 | +$44 +1983% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$40 +611% |
| Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?Ends in 36d | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 76¢ | $46 | +$44 +3396% |
| Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 55 | 14¢ → 82¢ | $45 | +$37 +474% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 45 | 3¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$43 +3504% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 60 | 8¢ → 72¢ | $43 | +$38 +773% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 129 | 4¢ → 33¢ | $42 | +$37 +768% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 95 | 3¢ → 44¢ | $42 | +$39 +1220% |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 3d | Yes | 55 | 7¢ → 76¢ | $42 | +$38 +967% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 64 | 16¢ → 64¢ | $41 | +$31 +302% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 77 | 4¢ → 53¢ | $41 | +$38 +1331% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 220 | 2¢ → 18¢ | $41 | +$35 +687% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$36 +999% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 4¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$38 +2402% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 12¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$35 +730% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 3¢ → 84¢ | $38 | +$36 +2397% |
| Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$34 +1063% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 80 | 17¢ → 47¢ | $37 | +$24 +174% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 37 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $37 | +$34 +998% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Ends in 1d | Yes | 70 | 11¢ → 53¢ | $37 | +$30 +400% |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 158 | 14¢ → 23¢ | $36 | +$14 +61% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 41 | 10¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$31 +783% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 7¢ → >99¢ | $35 | +$33 +1306% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 91 | 14¢ → 38¢ | $35 | +$22 +169% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 75 | 3¢ → 47¢ | $35 | +$32 +1245% |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 55 | 2¢ → 63¢ | $35 | +$33 +2467% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 35 | 9¢ → 98¢ | $34 | +$31 +1001% |
| Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 125 | 7¢ → 27¢ | $34 | +$25 +304% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?Ends in 31d | Yes | 80 | 18¢ → 42¢ | $34 | +$19 +137% |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 5¢ → 96¢ | $34 | +$32 +1780% |
| Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 165 | 2¢ → 20¢ | $33 | +$30 +873% |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 5¢ → 96¢ | $33 | +$31 +1720% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d | Yes | 33 | 14¢ → >99¢ | $33 | +$28 +600% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 33¢ | $33 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 226d | No | 32 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 80 | 2¢ → 40¢ | $32 | +$30 +2399% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $32 | +$16 +98% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 77¢ | $31 | +$29 +2836% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 61¢ | $31 | +$25 +449% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 20¢ → 38¢ | $30 | +$14 +90% |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 110 | 2¢ → 28¢ | $30 | +$28 +1144% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on October 18?Ends ended | Yes | 1,016 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $30 | −$59 −66% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 61 | 14¢ → 49¢ | $30 | +$21 +244% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 52 | 7¢ → 56¢ | $29 | +$26 +755% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 4.5% to 5.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 20¢ → 37¢ | $29 | +$13 +83% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 55 | 2¢ → 52¢ | $29 | +$28 +2754% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 160 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $29 | +$7 +32% |
| Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 55 | 2¢ → 52¢ | $28 | +$27 +2749% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 17¢ → 35¢ | $28 | +$14 +106% |
