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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50%+ | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35%+ | 100% | −1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 40%+ | 100% | +1 pts | −3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | JoshuaShaw4672 | 50%+ | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$1,056 +104% | 4 |
| 214d | kkdsj | 40%+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,611 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 214d |  Hakei. | 40%+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$28 +2.1% | 4 |
| 227d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate | 35%+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any OpenAI GPT model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 50%+ means the market gives it about 0%.