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Polymarket wallet 0xbf8d47a9457027437afaebd59a43bc8581375ace · on Polymarket since Apr 14, 2026 · also shown as Frivolous-Jar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$5 +103% |
| Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$4 +85% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$3 +67% |
| Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will North West release an album by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.