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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Substance | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emilia Perez | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nickel Boys | 100% | +51 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| A Real Pain | 0% | −66 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sing Sing | 0% | −67 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Complete Unknown | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 5 | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gladiator 2 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Challengers | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nosferatu | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Blitz | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Different Man | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Piano Lesson | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Seed of the Sacred Fig | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638d |  Slowroasted | The Seed of the Sacred Fig | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | pantomime | Gladiator 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,697 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d | BobbyB | Gladiator 2 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,120 | +$37 +0.6% | 20 |
| 638d | Slowroasted | The Piano Lesson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 638d |  LlamaEnjoyer | A Real Pain | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,846 | +$110 +1.0% | 20 |
| 638d | pantomime | A Real Pain | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 20 |
| 638d |  AgricultureSecretary | Sing Sing | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,790 | +$210 +1.0% | 20 |
| 638d | AgricultureSecretary | September 5 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | +$266 +15% | 20 |
| 638d | maalialmeida | Sing Sing | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$1,495 +96% | 20 |
| 639d | aviato2 fills | Emilia Perez | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,477 | +$42 +0.6% | 20 |
| 639d | aviato | A Complete Unknown | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 639d | PrinceHal | A Complete Unknown | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$49 −3.1% | — |
| 639d | PrinceHal2 fills | A Different Man | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,653 | +$47 +1.8% | 20 |
| 639d | PrinceHal | Gladiator 2 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 639d |  dududududu | A Different Man | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | +$196 +5.3% | 21 |
| 639d | affs20791 | A Different Man | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$125 +5.3% | 21 |
| 640d | Monster24 | Challengers | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$30 +1.9% | 20 |
| 641d |  Justitia | Emilia Perez | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | +$33 +1.0% | 20 |
| 642d | Doggieson | A Complete Unknown | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$88 −8.2% | — |
| 642d | Doggieson | Nickel Boys | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$1,936 −150% | — |
| 644d | PollyMarchev | The Seed of the Sacred Fig | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,202 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 644d | affs20791 | Nosferatu | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$136 +12% | 21 |
| 645d | PrinceHal | The Substance | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$173 +17% | 21 |
| 648d | affs20791 | Blitz | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,846 | +$150 +5.3% | 20 |
| 649d | vitorfliii3 fills | The Substance | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,850 | +$861 +22% | 20 |
| 650d | tracingwoodgrains2 fills | The Substance | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 20 |
| 650d |  AiBets | Blitz | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$194 +6.6% | 20 |
| 650d | AiBets | Gladiator 2 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$79 +6.4% | 20 |
| 651d |  Harmonicca4 fills | The Substance | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $6,037 | −$1,355 −22% | — |
| 651d |  New.Jeans | A Complete Unknown | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$163 +14% | 20 |
| 651d |  GUHHH3 fills | Blitz | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,637 | +$213 +5.8% | 20 |
| 653d | affs20791 | The Substance | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$314 +16% | 20 |
| 653d | GUHHH | A Complete Unknown | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$243 +18% | 20 |
| 654d | enrico-vasaio | Nickel Boys | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$364 +35% | 20 |
| 658d | DanaSimmon43825 | Emilia Perez | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,209 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 660d |  ...j | Gladiator 2 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$116 +11% | 20 |
| 660d | Doggieson | The Substance | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,164 +39% | 20 |
| 667d | Harmonicca2 fills | The Substance | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,886 | +$1,822 +47% | 20 |
| 679d |  BuckMySalls | The Substance | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$1,022 +86% | 20 |
| 680d |  crystalfalls | Challengers | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$376 +7.5% | 20 |
This is a market group over which movies will be nominated for Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for The Substance means the market gives it about 100%.