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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Battle After Another | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hamnet | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wicked: For Good | 0% | −11 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sinners | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jay Kelly | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| F1 | 100% | +69 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bugonia | 100% | +10 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Frankenstein | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Train Dreams | 100% | +21 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marty Supreme | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| It Was Just an Accident | 0% | −59 pts | −73 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Other Choice | 0% | −8 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Highest 2 Lowest | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Die My Love | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Life of Chuck | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anemone | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weapons | 0% | −18 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Testament of Ann Lee | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rental Family | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Smashing Machine | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Secret Agent | 100% | +20 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sentimental Value | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| A House of Dynamite | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thunderbolts | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Lost Bus | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sorry Baby | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nouvelle Vague | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Warfare | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Novocaine | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sound of Falling | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Blue Moon | 0% | −5 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After the Hunt | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274d |  beigesun | Die My Love | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d |  humbleBaker | Die My Love | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,927 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d |  Rasalgethi | Novocaine | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,117 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Frankenstein | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | The Life of Chuck | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,210 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | It Was Just an Accident | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,856 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Anemone | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,723 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Highest 2 Lowest | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,920 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | The Testament of Ann Lee | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,360 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | The Lost Bus | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,806 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,776 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,122 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Sorry Baby | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,186 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,912 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Nouvelle Vague | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,197 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 274d | anonymus8 | Rental Family | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,985 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 274d | aviato | Sorry Baby | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d |  AgricultureSecretary | The Secret Agent | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | +$173 +8.5% | 20 |
| 274d |  praktor | The Secret Agent | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$335 +17% | 20 |
| 274d | aviato2 fills | Sinners | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,885 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 274d | 11122 | Hamnet | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,492 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d |  mioki | F1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,800 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 274d | 11122 | F1 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,963 | +$70 +0.7% | 20 |
| 274d | Predictandbreathe2 fills | The Secret Agent | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,379 | +$621 +18% | 20 |
| 274d | Occasionalbettor | Frankenstein | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$38 +1.6% | 20 |
| 274d | Occasionalbettor | Marty Supreme | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 274d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Bugonia | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,154 | +$305 +9.7% | 20 |
| 274d |  just.some.guy.2026 | Bugonia | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$400 +11% | 20 |
| 274d | predard | No Other Choice | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$104 +9.9% | 20 |
| 274d | Giannis2026 | The Secret Agent | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$360 +22% | 20 |
| 274d | Giannis2026 | Train Dreams | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | +$630 +27% | 20 |
| 275d | oreola | Bugonia | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$126 +12% | 20 |
| 275d | mwenya2 fills | Weapons | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,343 | +$657 +20% | 24 |
| 275d | mwenya3 fills | Wicked: For Good | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,465 | +$534 +9.8% | 22 |
| 275d | InsiderrrZ | F1 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $3,108 | −$3,108 −100% | 27 |
| 275d | sylv13 | Sinners | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,815 | +$36 +0.5% | 20 |
| 275d | sylv13 | Marty Supreme | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 275d | sylv13 | Hamnet | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,834 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 275d | sylv13 | One Battle After Another | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,993 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 276d | garage | Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,763 | +$36 +2.0% | 20 |
| 276d | nrmjthw4nm4m0 | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,515 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 276d | vrcuougrpp6gt | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 276d | irscl1ciqgmga | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 277d | sdcadwozfmw1s | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,556 | +$29 +0.8% | 20 |
| 277d | lrmlf9v0gc5fi | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,546 | +$29 +0.8% | 20 |
| 277d | cijicvifvp7ek | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,541 | +$29 +0.8% | 20 |
| 279d | InsiderrrZ | Sinners | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 279d | kntpl2sn7a62l | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,508 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 279d | rrqurczb1fxgw | Hamnet | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,503 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 280d | lunend9c15s62 | One Battle After Another | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,548 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 280d | bsandt7tu6gsz | One Battle After Another | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,541 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 280d | vfmsspl8g1fot | One Battle After Another | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,544 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 281d | eNakeVets | Jay Kelly | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,209 | +$300 +4.2% | 20 |
| 281d | lixionmao | Sinners | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 281d | lixionmao | Sinners | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,120 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 281d |  ImJustKen | Sentimental Value | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | −$67 −4.2% | — |
| 281d | jfakfuo12ioasdfga | Die My Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,720 | +$25 +0.9% | 20 |
| 281d | asfiopkjkjk4sa | Die My Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,662 | +$24 +0.9% | 20 |
| 281d | gaskfgsa45dgda | Die My Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,729 | +$16 +0.6% | 20 |
| 281d | zjusalowr48dgaz1 | Die My Love | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$16 +0.6% | 20 |
BerthaJulia1 shares
SigridReade1 shares
Asahi12,000 shares
TURAS2501,197 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for One Battle After Another means the market gives it about 100%.