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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,305 | −$27 −0.2% | — | |
| 532d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,489 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 532d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,154 | +$37 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 532d | gt.cringe | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,772 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 532d | leiger | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 532d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,089 | +$40 +0.5% | 20 | |
| 532d | LBZone3 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,433 | +$66 +0.4% | 20 |
| 532d | BowlOfPunch | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $221,515 | +$222 +0.1% | 20 |
| 532d | dontshowmyname | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,457 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 532d | CompulsiveGambler | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 532d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,319 | −$7 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $131,135 | +$10,471 +8.0% | 21 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $233,527 | +$234 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | rwo | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,232 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | Liquidifier3 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,374 | +$33 +0.2% | 20 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $17,465 | −$35 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,092 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,183 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,240 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | tf2 | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $149,850 | +$150 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,221 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | borntoolate.eth | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,871 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,518 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 533d | Lloyyd | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,064 | −$1,064 −100% | 30 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — | |
| 533d | QuarterlyHugChild2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $15,143 | −$45 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | QuarterlyHugChild2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,173 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | IntenselyIsDoctor2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $15,548 | −$42 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | IntenselyIsDoctor2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,574 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | ThenCloseLawn | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,660 | −$32 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | ThenCloseLawn | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,681 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | pantomime2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,588 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 533d | YesterdayHasPage2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $21,453 | −$65 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | YesterdayHasPage2 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,492 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | SometimesAreSoap | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,298 | −$23 −0.2% | — |
| 533d | SometimesAreSoap | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,310 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | HighlyCanAntlers | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,598 | −$23 −0.2% | — |
| 533d | HighlyCanAntlers | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,610 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | TodayWasCast | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $12,437 | −$37 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | TodayWasCast | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,462 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $265,607 | +$1,151 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 533d | VvVv3 fills | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,978 | +$22 +0.2% | 20 |
| 533d | lasso | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,129 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 533d | TherePaintMan | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,241 | −$38 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | TherePaintMan | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,266 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | YesterdayBowGovernor | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,733 | −$30 −0.2% | — |
| 533d | YesterdayBowGovernor | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,748 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | LR1 | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,746 | +$30 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,816 | +$460 +2.3% | 20 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,648 | +$418 +1.4% | 20 | |
| 533d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $49,124 | +$765 +1.6% | 20 | |
| 533d | anke | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,592 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 533d | rjpoly | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil, airspace, or maritime territory, or against any Indian embassies or consulates, between May 4 and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory, airspace, or maritime assets. This includes, for example, a Pakistani airstrike on a site in India or a Pakistani missile landing on Indian territory. Actions such as artillery fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, small arms fire, or purely diplomatic confrontations will not count toward resolution. The strike must be either officially acknowledged by the Pakistani government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.