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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146d |  MrNoItAll | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,268 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 147d |  CAR-GangVersion2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,930 | +$70 +0.2% | 20 |
| 152d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | −$39 −1.1% | — |
| 152d | Dafu07155 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,686 | +$87 +0.9% | 20 |
| 152d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96045 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,067 | +$100 +1.4% | 20 |
| 153d | Dafu07154 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,018 | −$321 −3.2% | — |
| 163d |  Vanquish2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,319 | +$48 +2.1% | 20 |
| 163d | njkiii87715 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $278,295 | +$5,211 +1.9% | 20 |
| 163d | Huezruru15 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $278,454 | +$5,155 +1.9% | 20 |
| 164d |  JJo | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$54 +2.4% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.