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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Trzaskowski | 100% | +11 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Karol Nawrocki | 0% | −9 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sławomir Mentzen | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522d | pako | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $7,749 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 522d |  Shayku | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $3,493 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | GrayCat | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $2,032 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | JSoon | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 523d |  Chinese123 | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $1,533 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | Wowrrrr | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $1,628 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 523d |  Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn2 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,212 | +$32 +0.1% | 10 |
| 523d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 523d | Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn2 fills | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,695 | +$14 +0.1% | 10 |
| 523d | nndmg | Karol Nawrocki | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,960 | −$40 −0.7% | — |
| 523d | nndmg | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $1,796 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 523d | Alessx17 | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes>99¢ | $1,246 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 523d | spark1 | Karol Nawrocki | SellNo>99¢ | $1,928 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | oVyg7f3 fills | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | +$58 +1.5% | 10 |
| 523d | Winninghumbly | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$17 +0.6% | 10 |
| 523d |  AVAAL4 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $6,196 | −$2,460 −40% | — |
| 523d | hindu4 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,445 | +$706 +6.8% | 10 |
| 523d | nndmg | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$353 +24% | 10 |
| 523d | mep | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,250 | +$1,750 +54% | 10 |
| 523d | LemonCrazy2 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,202 | −$974 −23% | — |
| 523d | MONSTER.WATERMELON | Karol Nawrocki | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,723 | −$1,723 −100% | 12 |
| 523d | Wongwei2 fills | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,242 | +$482 +15% | 10 |
| 523d | dmark81 | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | +$38 +1.8% | 10 |
| 523d | spark1 | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$32 +2.0% | 10 |
| 523d | kz87 | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,729 | −$200 −4.2% | — |
| 523d | bvvvvvvvv | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$27 −2.0% | — |
| 523d | Occasionalbettor2 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,560 | +$113 +3.2% | 10 |
| 523d | dmz2 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,490 | −$757 −4.6% | — |
| 523d | affs207912 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,101 | +$376 +4.1% | 10 |
| 523d |  Vanquish2 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $16,868 | +$589 +3.5% | 10 |
| 523d | dmz3 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,863 | +$348 +7.2% | 10 |
| 523d |  BenjarninNetanyahu3 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,428 | −$273 −6.2% | — |
| 523d |  Morbuu | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | +$69 +4.2% | 10 |
| 523d | nonkenny903 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,978 | +$185 +4.7% | 10 |
| 523d | noslajre | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,775 | +$225 +8.1% | 10 |
| 523d | Dude2137 | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$58 +4.8% | 10 |
| 523d | Mike888-247 | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$355 +7.1% | 10 |
| 523d | user588436 | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$126 −12% | — |
| 523d | BenjarninNetanyahu | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$204 +11% | 10 |
| 523d | cigarettes9 fills | Sławomir Mentzen | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,880 | +$28 +0.1% | 10 |
| 523d |  polyaltos | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,239 | +$461 +5.0% | 10 |
| 524d | bla23 | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$86 +7.2% | 12 |
| 524d | wubddh | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$165 +8.8% | 12 |
| 524d | wubddh | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$130 +8.2% | 12 |
| 524d | borderx | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$252 +8.0% | 12 |
| 524d | kidian6 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,549 | −$1,254 −12% | — |
| 525d | qwerty930 | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | +$139 +8.4% | 11 |
| 525d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Sławomir Mentzen | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,017 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 525d | wokerjoesleeper | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | +$154 +8.7% | 11 |
| 525d | Dragonpheonix | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$124 +11% | 12 |
| 525d | Dragonpheonix | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,296 | +$287 +8.7% | 11 |
| 525d | MR.BONG | Rafał Trzaskowski | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$222 +10% | 12 |
| 526d |  HonestestAbe | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | −$240 −11% | — |
| 526d | nndmg2 fills | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,261 | +$237 +7.3% | 10 |
| 526d | SamuelCrypto | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,268 | −$399 −12% | — |
| 526d | hindu2 fills | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,213 | −$366 −8.7% | — |
| 526d |  MANG-E | Rafał Trzaskowski | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | −$62 −4.3% | — |
| 526d |  abacaxi | Sławomir Mentzen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 526d | RubiksCube | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,719 | +$208 +5.6% | 10 |
| 527d | cigarettes7 fills | Karol Nawrocki | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,677 | +$699 +4.5% | 10 |
BabyYoda129,786 sharesPoland has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Polish presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other" This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Polish government, specifically the National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW) (https://www.pkw.gov.pl/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rafał Trzaskowski means the market gives it about 100%.