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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1-2% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2-3% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3-4% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4-5% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-6% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6-7% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >7% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | <1% | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,005 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | <1% | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,638 | +$46 +0.2% | 10 |
| 692d |  mr.ozi | <1% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,460 | −$63 −1.4% | — |
| 699d |  RememberAmalek | <1% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$15 +1.5% | 10 |
| 701d |  TheFund | <1% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | −$34 −1.9% | — |
| 701d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | <1% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,699 | −$75 −1.3% | — |
| 707d |  Merlot | <1% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,319 | −$40 −1.2% | — |
| 707d |  Apsalar | 4-5% | BuyNo100¢ | $2,985 | +$15 +0.5% | 10 |
| 708d | kingfisher2 fills | <1% | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $17,824 | −$3,305 −19% | — |
| 708d | moshito | <1% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,812 | +$83 +1.2% | 10 |
| 709d |  SexPistols | <1% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$20 −1.6% | — |
| 709d | Trump2032-3652 fills | <1% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,869 | −$100 −1.5% | — |
| 713d | Trump2032-365 | <1% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,387 | +$347 +1.0% | 10 |
| 714d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | <1% | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$361 +14% | 10 |
| 714d | ABC1245 | <1% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$32 −3.0% | — |
| 715d | tumadre | <1% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,199 | −$45 −2.0% | — |
| 715d | ldlc38 | <1% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | −$44 −2.0% | — |
| 715d | Merlot | <1% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 |
| 716d | viltalik3 fills | <1% | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $17,613 | +$1,159 +6.6% | 10 |
| 716d |  Nancy-Pelosi2 fills | <1% | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $3,395 | −$6,810 −201% | — |
| 716d | viltalik | 6-7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,934 | +$36 +0.2% | 10 |
| 716d | viltalik | >7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,557 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 716d |  Stungray | <1% | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,030 +52% | 20 |
| 717d | FinStar | <1% | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | +$608 +37% | 17 |
| 717d | 0x89601c127395D185f9B40FB53F53D5cf432d1fd1 | <1% | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,807 | +$1,793 +37% | 15 |
| 718d |  ScreamingEagle | <1% | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | −$623 −52% | — |
| 720d | Nabeel0505 | >7% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,559 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 720d | BossHugo | 4-5% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$13 +1.1% | 10 |
| 720d | mr.ozi2 fills | <1% | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $4,609 | +$1,641 +36% | 10 |
| 720d | TheFund | <1% | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$543 +41% | 12 |
| 721d |  ImJustKen3 fills | 4-5% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,340 | +$345 +1.8% | 10 |
| 722d |  Wickier | <1% | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$625 +33% | 12 |
| 723d | kingfisher3 fills | 4-5% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,896 | −$54 −1.1% | — |
| 723d | Nabeel0505 | >7% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$68 +1.5% | 10 |
| 723d | kingfisher | 1-2% | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | — |
| 729d | ScreamingEagle | <1% | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$461 +22% | 10 |
| 734d | Pmmmw | 5-6% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 734d | Pmmmw | 5-6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 744d | Nancy-Pelosi2 fills | <1% | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,717 | +$1,376 +20% | 10 |
| 745d | dekrekk3 fills | 6-7% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,158 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 745d | dekrekk3 fills | 6-7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,161 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 745d | skysunny2 fills | 6-7% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,321 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 745d | skysunny2 fills | 6-7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,323 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 745d | skysunny2 fills | >7% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,321 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 745d | skysunny2 fills | >7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,323 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 749d | aechidir | 6-7% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 749d | aechidir | 6-7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 749d | aechidir | >7% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 749d | aechidir | >7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,101 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 751d | FridaKahlo3024266 | 6-7% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,077 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 751d | FridaKahlo3024266 | 6-7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 751d | DanceDynamo16221 | >7% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,021 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 751d | DanceDynamo16221 | >7% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,022 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 752d | 0xfe91…70ff | 2-3% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | +$94 +3.3% | 10 |
| 777d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | <1% | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,821 | +$2,821 +100% | — |
| 788d | Wiz_0066 | <1% | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | −$532 −39% | — |
| 789d | ImJustKen2 fills | >7% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,837 | +$235 +1.4% | 10 |
| 789d | ImJustKen2 fills | 6-7% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,852 | +$182 +1.1% | 10 |
| 789d | ImJustKen2 fills | 5-6% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,793 | +$241 +1.4% | 10 |
| 789d | ImJustKen2 fills | 3-4% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,748 | +$286 +1.7% | 10 |
jenkins935 sharesRFK Jr. popular vote share?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <1% means the market gives it about 100%.