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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509d | InactiveByMe | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,718 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 510d |  noreasapa | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,481 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 510d |  soicowboy | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,000 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 510d |  Sivert3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,179 | −$274 −1.6% | — |
| 510d | HanSolo2411 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $29,344 | −$695 −2.4% | — |
| 510d |  Faye🦆 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,143 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 511d | drac0nian4 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,179 | −$154 −2.1% | — |
| 511d |  Mr-Krabs2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,620 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 511d |  taut-dogwood | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 511d |  MisTKy36 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $17,079 | +$1,568 +9.2% | 20 |
| 511d | GevenSoats | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,940 | +$60 +0.3% | 20 |
| 511d | forinnerpsandr1x112222 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,092 | +$230 +1.6% | 20 |
| 512d |  scottilicious9 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $125,390 | +$1,647 +1.3% | 20 |
| 512d | 0x253d…33072 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,610 | +$390 +11% | 20 |
| 512d | Mr.Fujin6 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $55,965 | +$944 +1.7% | 20 |
| 512d | Rofigil | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,635 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 512d |  Plant2tri3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,073 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 512d |  Ogonee | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo100¢ | $1,021 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 512d |  GoldFinch | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,483 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 512d |  Galamaddison | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,114 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 512d |  Connext | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 512d | nbapro | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,581 | +$147 +0.4% | 20 |
| 512d |  Sergsky | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,693 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 512d |  Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $52,262 | −$2,980 −5.7% | — |
| 513d | tdrrr | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 513d |  studmuffin69694 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,785 | −$783 −6.6% | — |
| 513d | Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn7 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $91,366 | +$6,773 +7.4% | 20 |
| 513d |  Justitia3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $39,753 | +$1,461 +3.7% | 20 |
| 513d | ppp6662 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,694 | +$138 +1.3% | 20 |
| 513d | Shikamaru.DM5 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $133,138 | +$1,120 +0.8% | 20 |
| 514d |  BeneGesseritVoice2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,044 | −$67 −2.2% | — |
| 514d | BuddhaYTorrance2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,054 | +$241 +0.8% | 20 |
| 514d | OkaneKasegu2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,933 | +$67 +1.0% | 20 |
| 514d |  NewPower | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$25 +1.1% | 20 |
| 515d | NELF | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,896 | +$104 +1.3% | 20 |
| 515d | LR1 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | −$30 −1.4% | — |
| 515d |  peasant2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,919 | −$81 −1.4% | — |
| 515d | drac0nian2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,494 | +$183 +2.4% | 20 |
| 515d | iqbal | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,413 | +$116 +1.0% | 20 |
| 515d |  HNIC14 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $43,132 | +$6,334 +15% | 20 |
| 515d | Sivert2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,996 | +$226 +1.7% | 20 |
| 516d | VvVv2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,205 | +$160 +1.7% | 20 |
| 516d | cezarn13211 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $136,500 | +$1,610 +1.2% | 20 |
| 516d |  JohnnyStyles | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,059 | −$146 −1.8% | — |
| 516d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,998 | −$122 −2.0% | — |
| 516d |  DumplingBMF11 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $34,027 | +$4,398 +13% | 20 |
| 516d | lioumang | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,983 | −$93 −1.9% | — |
| 517d | studmuffin6969 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,962 | +$38 +1.9% | 20 |
| 517d | ET4 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | −$65 −2.2% | — |
| 517d | squirtl | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,326 | −$231 −2.2% | — |
| 517d | agun | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,475 | +$68 +1.5% | 20 |
| 517d |  SappySeal67 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,951 | +$49 +1.6% | 20 |
| 518d | 0xTrinity | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $28,871 | −$821 −2.8% | — |
| 518d | iSway | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$20 −1.8% | — |
| 518d | lioumang | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,007 | +$69 +1.4% | 20 |
| 518d |  duderr | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 518d | Qtyu | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$41 +2.0% | 20 |
| 518d | nghiapham | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 518d | avocado42947 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$18 −1.6% | — |
| 519d |  wowfarm2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,634 | +$665 +18% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
