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Polymarket wallet 0x3e144885ba33fcf74a1e90ec75df14c48a7f18d1 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Clean-Modeling
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $75 | +$45 +150% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $49 | +$19 +64% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $42 | +$12 +41% |
| Will TikTok be banned before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $40 | +$10 +33% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $37 | +$7 +22% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $36 | +$6 +20% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,199 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$460 −100% |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 541d | Will TikTok be banned before July? | BuyNo75¢ | $30 |
| 541d | US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | BuyNo61¢ | $30 |
| 541d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyNo81¢ | $30 |
| 541d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo71¢ | $30 |
| 541d | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo83¢ | $30 |
| 541d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BuyNo82¢ | $30 |
| 541d | Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June? | BuyNo72¢ | $30 |
| 541d | Elon out of Trump administration before July? | BuyNo68¢ | $30 |
| 541d | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo40¢ | $30 |
| 716d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes3¢ | $460 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.