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Polymarket wallet 0xbce686353e7efde22a29ccb06828faacbca4817a · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2025 · also shown as Poor-Ambience
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +32% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the next Pope be from Europe?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.