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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626d |  Justitia3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,213 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 627d |  CarJunior3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,163 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 627d | NELF3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,030 | −$55 −1.1% | — |
| 628d | Murysoff | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,059 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 628d | AnatoliiM | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,214 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 628d |  Rr55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,677 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 628d | subhin | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 629d |  DFK | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,549 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | Ivan17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,260 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | DumbOracle | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,082 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | keribit3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,203 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 630d |  Trumputin | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,507 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | Qtyu3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,381 | +$136 +0.7% | 20 |
| 630d | pufferswhat | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d | zykimyki | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,968 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 631d |  LinaBell | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,141 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 631d |  StingerT | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  KazukoSafaa | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,553 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  Plant2tri | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,221 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  Galamaddison | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d | thenightagent2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,007 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 631d | thenightagent2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,009 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d | CarJunior3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,190 | +$32 +0.6% | 20 |
| 631d | oldlad | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 631d | oldlad | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  Rasalgethi | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,974 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,976 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 631d |  Inagurated | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,443 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d |  Libitum | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,736 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 632d |  Zykoer | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,552 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d |  BB2020 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,774 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d |  GoldFinch | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,221 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 632d | -JB- | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,027 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 632d |  iamhungry | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 633d | ziggaBOBl | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,286 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 633d | subhin | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 633d |  noreasapa3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,855 | −$103 −1.0% | — |
| 634d |  bodya-845 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,002 | −$28 −0.6% | — |
| 635d | cqs3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $46,072 | +$461 +1.0% | 20 |
| 635d | Rr552 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,924 | +$66 +1.7% | 20 |
| 635d | YasH | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,822 | −$39 −1.0% | — |
| 635d |  Donkov2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,721 | +$140 +1.8% | 20 |
| 636d |  KingZeManel3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,310 | +$99 +1.1% | 20 |
| 636d |  SirHarryOakes | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 20 |
| 636d |  beigesun | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | −$23 −1.7% | — |
| 636d |  Eiger | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$13 +1.2% | 20 |
| 637d | YasH | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,339 | +$21 +0.9% | 20 |
| 638d | noreasapa2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,663 | +$86 +1.8% | 20 |
| 638d | DiscoDonnie | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyYes1¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | −$1,228 −100% | 22 |
| 638d | NELF4 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,059 | +$240 +2.0% | 20 |
| 639d | CrashOverride952 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $39,647 | +$511 +1.3% | 20 |
| 639d |  Sapphirus | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 640d |  Cadabra2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,493 | +$267 +1.0% | 20 |
| 640d |  How.Dare.You | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,928 | +$72 +1.2% | 20 |
| 640d | Trump2028 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,624 | +$390 +1.3% | 20 |
| 640d | bodya-8459 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $18,000 | +$293 +1.6% | 20 |
| 640d |  wowfarm | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | +$60 +2.5% | 20 |
| 640d | longdated-poli | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,394 | +$133 +2.5% | 20 |
| 640d | Donkov2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,657 | −$223 −2.9% | — |
| 640d | ziggaBOBl3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,505 | +$142 +2.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.