longdated-poli

Polymarket wallet 0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5 · on Polymarket since Apr 19, 2024 · also shown as Wide-Eyed-Dark

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $8.97K
All-time profit: −$60.1K
Volume traded: $7.21M
All-time rank: #3,206,403
Markets traded: 3,686
Recent hit rate: 0%0 of last 50 closed

Open positions

77 markets · $8.97K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d	No	854	94¢ → 95¢	$809	+$9 +1.1%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Ends in 78d	No	808	92¢ → 88¢	$707	−$38 −5.1%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d	No	860	82¢ → 81¢	$697	−$4 −0.6%
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	641	94¢ → 95¢	$607	+$6 +0.9%
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?Ends in 16d	No	632	88¢ → 86¢	$544	−$11 −1.9%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	555	95¢ → 93¢	$518	−$8 −1.5%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	657	77¢ → 74¢	$486	−$20 −3.9%
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d	No	656	89¢ → 60¢	$392	−$190 −33%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Ends in 74d	Yes	616	91¢ → 60¢	$369	−$192 −34%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	840	92¢ → 43¢	$362	−$408 −53%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	Yes	446	74¢ → 74¢	$330	+$1 +0.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended	Yes	1,070	93¢ → 26¢	$282	−$718 −72%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	No	404	83¢ → 69¢	$277	−$57 −17%
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 52d	No	480	83¢ → 57¢	$272	−$125 −32%
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	243	93¢ → 92¢	$222	−$4 −1.6%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 74d	No	287	73¢ → 73¢	$208	−$0 −0.1%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	258	88¢ → 76¢	$196	−$30 −13%
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 41d	Yes	265	85¢ → 66¢	$175	−$49 −22%
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	No	212	94¢ → 81¢	$172	−$28 −14%
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Ends in 41d	Yes	227	88¢ → 74¢	$168	−$32 −16%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	429	85¢ → 38¢	$161	−$202 −56%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 74d	No	165	94¢ → 92¢	$152	−$3 −2.2%
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 16d	No	143	90¢ → 84¢	$119	−$9 −6.8%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Ends in 16d	Yes	132	90¢ → 88¢	$115	−$3 −2.8%
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 41d	No	152	89¢ → 68¢	$104	−$32 −23%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	139	91¢ → 64¢	$89	−$38 −30%
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	89	91¢ → 89¢	$79	−$2 −2.2%
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 371d	Yes	602	13¢ → 11¢	$67	−$12 −15%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	66	91¢ → 88¢	$58	−$2 −3.8%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	56	92¢ → 62¢	$35	−$17 −33%
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 105d	Yes	62	81¢ → 46¢	$28	−$22 −44%
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 6d	No	577	13¢ → 4¢	$24	−$51 −68%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Ends in 7d	Yes	507	9¢ → 4¢	$19	−$28 −59%
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d	No	318	83¢ → 6¢	$18	−$245 −93%
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d	Yes	26	81¢ → 66¢	$17	−$4 −19%
Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 255d	Yes	660	15¢ → 2¢	$11	−$88 −89%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 78d	Yes	221	8¢ → 5¢	$10	−$7 −39%
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Ends in 16d	Yes	440	6¢ → 2¢	$10	−$15 −60%
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	11	92¢ → 87¢	$9	−$1 −6.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	10	92¢ → 91¢	$9	−$0 −1.1%
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 74d	No	10	95¢ → 92¢	$9	−$0 −3.3%
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	483	2¢ → 1¢	$7	−$3 −27%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	261	5¢ → 1¢	$4	−$9 −71%
Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d	No	627	6¢ → 1¢	$4	−$32 −89%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 74d	Yes	100	9¢ → 3¢	$3	−$6 −63%
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 179d	Yes	51	9¢ → 7¢	$3	−$1 −28%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 78d	No	4	86¢ → 63¢	$3	−$1 −27%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 164d	Yes	166	13¢ → 2¢	$3	−$19 −88%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Ends in 7d	No	61	7¢ → 4¢	$2	−$2 −43%
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	296	4¢ → 1¢	$2	−$11 −87%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?Ends in 78d	Yes	130	3¢ → 1¢	$1	−$3 −75%
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	60	3¢ → 2¢	$1	−$1 −48%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Ends in 74d	Yes	112	7¢ → 1¢	$1	−$7 −90%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?Ends in 16d	Yes	20	5¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −36%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?Ends in 9d	Yes	50	21¢ → 1¢	$0	−$10 −97%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	64	88¢ → <1¢	$0	−$57 −100%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 439d	Yes	218	2¢ → <1¢	$0	−$5 −98%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	612	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$38 −100%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 in October?Settled - ready to redeem	No	381	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	660	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$62 −100%
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	930	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$69 −100%
Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	211	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	30,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	656	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$328 −100%
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	23	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	170	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	159	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Settled - ready to redeem	No	61	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	204	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	16	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	7	85¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	650	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$106 −100%
Will FURIA Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	48	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #1 song this week?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	220	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	761	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$44 −100%
Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	125	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
50m	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	SellNo90¢	$18
50m	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	BuyNo90¢	$18
56m	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	SellNo67¢	$37
56m	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	BuyNo67¢	$38
1h	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SellNo86¢	$22
1h	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SellNo86¢	$166
1h	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyNo86¢	$167
1h	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BuyNo86¢	$23
2h	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	SellYes4¢	$1
2h	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	BuyYes4¢	$1
3h	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	SellNo83¢	$112
3h	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	BuyNo82¢	$112
3h	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	SellYes10¢	$9
3h	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes11¢	$10
4h	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	SellNo69¢	$69
4h	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	SellNo69¢	$69
4h	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	BuyNo69¢	$136
4h	Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	SellNo70¢	$26
4h	Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	BuyNo70¢	$26
4h	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SellNo83¢	$181
4h	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BuyNo83¢	$182
5h	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	SellYes73¢	$160
5h	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	SellYes73¢	$129
5h	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	BuyYes73¢	$75
5h	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	BuyYes73¢	$85
5h	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	SellNo22¢	$4
5h	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	BuyNo22¢	$4
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$544
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$1
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$1
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$14
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$34
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$400
5h	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$200
6h	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	SellYes8¢	$4
6h	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	BuyYes9¢	$5
6h	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	BuyYes9¢	$5
6h	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	SellNo11¢	$7
6h	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?	BuyNo12¢	$7
6h	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SellYes3¢	$1
6h	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BuyYes4¢	$0
6h	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BuyYes4¢	$1
6h	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BuyYes4¢	$0
6h	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BuyYes4¢	$0
6h	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	SellYes87¢	$17
6h	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$17
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	SellNo92¢	$536
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	SellNo92¢	$40
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	SellNo92¢	$46
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	SellNo92¢	$16
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo93¢	$141
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo93¢	$118
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo94¢	$66
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo94¢	$134
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo92¢	$48
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo93¢	$27
6h	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	BuyNo93¢	$111
6h	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	SellYes8¢	$3
6h	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	BuyYes8¢	$4
6h	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	SellYes6¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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