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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588d |  Serega-pro | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,171 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 588d |  praesagus | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 588d |  Burnmoneyuser | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,923 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 588d |  Infringe | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,233 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 588d | XTrader-893 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,223 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 588d |  Obtio | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,470 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 588d |  Negeto | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 588d | Burnmoneyuser2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,929 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 588d | papecharthasech | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 588d |  ScamWick6 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,991 | +$175 +1.0% | 20 |
| 588d | cuta | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 588d | Infringe | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 588d | keribit | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 588d | wubddh | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 588d | up.3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,917 | +$166 +0.7% | 20 |
| 588d |  Ox1b1osgjjh173hdhdyy19h18hshbcndims12gsn | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,239 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 588d | Marsa | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,530 | −$26 −0.4% | — |
| 588d | Marsa | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,537 | +$20 +0.3% | 20 |
| 588d |  Found-403 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,494 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 588d |  AmericanGirl | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 588d | OLOTH2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,093 | +$16 +0.5% | 20 |
| 588d | EPunx | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 588d | pantomime | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,484 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 588d |  Tenebrus7 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,880 | +$12 +0.3% | 20 |
| 588d | Valthyros | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,561 | +$203 +0.4% | 20 |
| 588d |  aenews25 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $43,658 | +$442 +1.0% | 20 |
| 588d | NELF | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 588d |  Geez-Jimbo | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo100¢ | $2,546 | +$13 +0.5% | 20 |
| 588d | praesagus4 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,249 | +$126 +1.5% | 20 |
| 588d |  XAE12Archangel2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$34 +1.1% | 20 |
| 588d | reng599 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo100¢ | $9,812 | +$49 +0.5% | 20 |
| 589d | Liquidifier2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,494 | −$41 −1.2% | — |
| 589d |  How.Dare.You | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo100¢ | $6,013 | +$30 +0.5% | 20 |
| 589d | Found-403 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,144 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 589d | aviato3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,377 | +$73 +0.6% | 20 |
| 589d | hunida | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,085 | +$25 +0.6% | 20 |
| 589d | kremsias | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | −$17 −0.7% | — |
| 589d | Aen | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,005 | +$153 +0.6% | 20 |
| 589d | AZwater2 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,981 | +$66 +0.7% | 20 |
| 589d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $41,401 | +$418 +1.0% | 20 |
| 589d | OPFORintelligence | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 589d | Negeto3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,647 | +$245 +1.1% | 20 |
| 589d | keribit9 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $39,064 | +$436 +1.1% | 20 |
| 589d | dzsibenaja | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 589d |  debased3 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,569 | +$200 +4.4% | 21 |
| 589d |  SirHarryOakes | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$19 +1.1% | 20 |
| 589d |  Astera | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | −$24 −1.1% | — |
| 589d |  AuthenticDemigod | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,341 | +$84 +1.0% | 20 |
| 589d |  poorpleb | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$15 −1.1% | — |
| 589d |  Justitia | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$30 +0.9% | 20 |
| 589d |  PresidentDonaldPump | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | +$24 +1.0% | 20 |
| 589d |  SwissMiss | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,229 | +$88 +1.4% | 20 |
| 589d | houdini99 | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$60 +1.5% | 20 |
| 589d | commeowder | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,678 | −$64 −1.7% | — |
| 589d | HanSolo246 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $42,718 | +$714 +1.7% | 20 |
| 589d |  Sapphirus | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$17 +1.5% | 20 |
| 589d |  Car4 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $28,716 | −$583 −2.0% | — |
| 589d |  Artpod | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,601 | +$66 +1.8% | 20 |
| 589d |  Skip-Earthwax | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$45 +1.9% | 21 |
| 589d | Car5 fills | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,604 | +$332 +1.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.