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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 937d |  ANudeEgg | Russian nuke in space in 2024? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | −$375 −18% | — |
| 974d |  Tenable-Dome | Russian nuke in space in 2024? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,200 | −$800 −19% | — |
| 974d |  ImJustKen | Russian nuke in space in 2024? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,424 | −$1,424 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation places a nuclear weapon in space (an altitude of 50+ miles above sea level) between February 21, 2024, 11:00 AM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.