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Polymarket wallet 0xfa67ad78507e50834d82cd3bb44378756a454ec0 · on Polymarket since Sep 10, 2024 · also shown as Polished-Tritone
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Russian nuke in space in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Canada federal election in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 728d | Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ | $11 |
| 728d | Maduro out in 2024? | SellYes8¢ | $1 |
| 728d | Russian nuke in space in 2024? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 728d | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo84¢ | $11 |
| 728d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes36¢ | $10 |
| 728d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellYes33¢ | $8 |
| 763d | Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | BuyYes51¢ | $3 |
| 763d | Canada federal election in 2024? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
| 763d | Maduro out in 2024? | BuyYes13¢ | $1 |
| 763d | Israel parliament dissolves in 2024? | BuyYes22¢ | $3 |
| 763d | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo13¢ | $3 |
| 763d | Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 763d | Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 773d | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo75¢ | $20 |
| 773d | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes28¢ | $10 |
| 773d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyYes45¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.