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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −71 pts | −81 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116d | looppau2 fills | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,036 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 116d | NeoOracle2 fills | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,701 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 116d | thcdmz | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,095 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 116d | Fulgurator | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,778 | +$630 +8.1% | 10 |
| 116d | wan1233 fills | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $10,292 | +$2,796 +27% | 10 |
| 198d |  Dapsy | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | +$1,257 +100% | — |
| 207d | LiquidityCrisisActor | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,904 | −$1,904 −100% | 10 |
| 212d |  TheAugur | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $3,031 | −$3,031 −100% | 10 |
BegierCapital657 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.