| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5,000 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $4,425 | +$402 +10.0% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 3,948 | 43¢ → 93¢ | $3,681 | +$1,994 +118% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,500 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2,469 | +$19 +0.8% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 2,500 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $2,263 | +$13 +0.6% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 2,500 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $2,237 | −$37 −1.6% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 2,216 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $1,961 | +$87 +4.7% |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,210 | 76¢ → 68¢ | $1,505 | −$169 −10% |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 69d | No | 1,333 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,246 | +$60 +5.1% |
| Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 1,129 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,079 | +$52 +5.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $964 | +$44 +4.8% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 1,000 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $961 | +$104 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,007 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $927 | +$101 +12% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,000 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $845 | −$8 −0.9% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 800 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $789 | +$11 +1.4% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 2,500 | 24¢ → 28¢ | $700 | +$100 +17% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 1,000 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $625 | +$75 +14% |
| Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $486 | +$5 +1.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 667 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $480 | +$53 +13% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 450 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $437 | +$18 +4.3% |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 450 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $436 | +$7 +1.7% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 66¢ → 90¢ | $360 | +$97 +37% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 315 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $305 | +$14 +4.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 333 | 67¢ → 90¢ | $300 | +$77 +34% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 500 | 13¢ → 59¢ | $293 | +$228 +350% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 344 | 11¢ → 76¢ | $260 | +$222 +586% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 258 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $241 | +$19 +8.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 591 | 5¢ → 41¢ | $239 | +$210 +710% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 234 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $232 | +$47 +25% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 333 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $231 | −$12 −4.8% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 233 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $231 | +$38 +20% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 369 | 31¢ → 60¢ | $222 | +$107 +93% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 28¢ → 38¢ | $190 | +$50 +36% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $187 | −$3 −1.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$47 +34% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $177 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $165 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 158 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $152 | +$17 +13% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 17,406 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $148 | +$70 +89% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$10 +7.6% |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 96,355 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $145 | +$29 +25% |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 132 | 1¢ → 99¢ | $130 | +$129 +9765% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 138 | 5¢ → 89¢ | $122 | +$115 +1670% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 38¢ → 59¢ | $118 | +$42 +55% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 123 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $118 | +$8 +7.0% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 725 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $116 | −$133 −53% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 683 | 42¢ → 17¢ | $113 | −$177 −61% |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 147 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $97 | +$6 +6.7% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 68d | No | 107 | 3¢ → 84¢ | $90 | +$86 +2374% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 58,609 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $88 | −$29 −25% |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 86,602 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $87 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 99 | 67¢ → 85¢ | $83 | +$17 +25% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 88 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $83 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 81 | 43¢ → 95¢ | $77 | +$42 +119% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 75 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $75 | +$7 +11% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 242 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $73 | −$12 −14% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 75 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $71 | +$2 +2.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 382 | 44¢ → 18¢ | $67 | −$101 −60% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 75 | 8¢ → 88¢ | $66 | +$60 +1001% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 20,093 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $50 | +$30 +150% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,468 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $46 | +$34 +288% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 48 | 54¢ → 90¢ | $43 | +$17 +67% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 75,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $38 | −$38 −50% |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $34 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 33 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 19,333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $29 | −$10 −25% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 333 | 35¢ → 9¢ | $28 | −$88 −76% |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 18,427 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $28 | −$9 −25% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 56¢ → 88¢ | $22 | +$8 +58% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $18 | −$43 −70% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 17¢ | $17 | +$14 +467% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 15 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$10 −41% |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 27,178 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$38 −74% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 75 | 62¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$34 −74% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 166 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 934 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | +$2 +56% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 9,223 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$13 −73% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 467 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +24% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 208 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$5 −68% |
| Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | Yes | 671 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 53¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$2 −56% |
| Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 69d | Yes | 269 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$1 +150% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 33 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$1 +90% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 88 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$1 +175% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 209 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +250% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 264 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 217 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 149 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 229 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,867 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group DSettled - ready to redeem | Alliance | 939 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$502 −100% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 146 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 210 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 943 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,460 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
