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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 438d | aviato2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes100¢ | $5,970 | +$30 +0.5% | 20 |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,119 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | +$91 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,852 | +$329 +1.7% | 20 | |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,314 | +$50 +0.7% | 20 | |
| 438d | LBZone | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,892 | +$27 +0.7% | 20 |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 438d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 438d | Abadtaste | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,506 | +$192 +1.4% | 20 |
| 438d | seyo2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,442 | +$109 +4.4% | 20 |
| 439d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$36 −3.2% | — | |
| 439d | redberry | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$69 +4.0% | 20 |
| 439d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,429 | +$194 +4.4% | 20 | |
| 439d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,926 | +$228 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 439d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,026 | −$146 −3.6% | — | |
| 440d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,877 | +$422 +7.2% | 20 | |
| 441d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$110 +6.9% | 20 | |
| 442d | torrest2 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $12,265 | +$868 +7.1% | 20 |
| 442d | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,258 | −$1,258 −100% | 22 | |
| 443d | jaehyun787 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$96 +4.8% | 20 |
| 443d | Nicstun | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$176 +15% | 20 |
| 443d | whynot2025 | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,032 | +$382 +13% | 20 |
| 443d | hindu3 fills | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,650 | +$1,338 +20% | 20 |
| 444d | karimi | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$500 +18% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former First Lady of South Korea Kim Keon-hee is arrested or detained by law enforcement between July 24, 2025, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.