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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | −8 pts | +10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 20 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | March 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | yoobii12 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | 88888888888888888 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 210d | msrcap2 | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 213d | idrinkwaterandbreatheair | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 216d | rgsh81 | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 217d |  AlAhmeda | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
| 217d | ringo5552 fills | March 31 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,686 | −$584 −16% | — |
| 218d | Hashbrown2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $23,976 | +$541 +2.3% | 4 |
| 219d | RealMaxNick2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$261 +11% | 4 |
| 221d | PBM23 | March 31 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | −$1,011 −27% | — |
| 221d | PBM23 | March 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$217 +4.8% | 4 |
| 222d | bean125 | March 31 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$106 −10% | — |
| 222d | Fair-Cup | March 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$223 +9.9% | 4 |
| 222d |  Juanitosisi | March 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$120 +10.0% | 4 |
| 234d | Liorp | March 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$588 +29% | 4 |
| 244d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | February 20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,267 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
Dolba9,545 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.