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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | Bouncy-Raid | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,060 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 260d | 527-505 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,037 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 260d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,035 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 260d |  Snow-White2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $37,347 | +$115 +0.3% | 4 |
| 260d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,892 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 260d | T1canwin2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,403 | +$96 +1.3% | 4 |
| 260d | Solochu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,814 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 260d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,807 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 260d |  residual | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown96¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$47 −4.2% | — |
| 261d | lgtnb19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 12 |
| 261d | Eggplant2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | +$2,696 +95% | 12 |
| 261d | Eggplant | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $1,099 | −$1,099 −100% | 12 |
| 261d | lgtnb10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown47¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$1,590 +113% | 12 |
| 261d | sdhyky | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellUp60¢ → 0¢ | $1,574 | +$1,574 +100% | — |
| 261d | Snow-White | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellUp52¢ → 0¢ | $2,709 | +$2,709 +100% | — |
| 261d | dsfg33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 12 |
| 261d |  DOCW | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | SellUp65¢ → 0¢ | $1,593 | +$1,593 +100% | — |
| 261d | Snow-White | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $5,056 | −$5,056 −100% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 5 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 5 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.