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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $800M | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $3B | 2% | — | +1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 1% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $142 | in 69d |
| $5B | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $131 | in 69d |
| $7B | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $130 | in 69d |
| $50M | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $118 | in 69d |
| $10B | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $111 | in 69d |
| $2B | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $101 | in 69d |
| $400M | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $7.57 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Liquidifier | $1B | SellNo98¢ | $1,330 | +$3 +0.2% | — |
| 3d | 999ssf | $7B | SellNo99¢ | $1,845 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 4d | 83offwrf | $1B | SellNo98¢ | $1,523 | +$9 +0.6% | — |
| 4d | bighand8 | $100M | SellNo99¢ | $1,007 | +$4 +0.4% | — |
| 5d |  vinii | $1B | SellNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,974 | +$22 +1.1% | — |
| 6d | 999ssf | $50M | SellNo99¢ | $1,432 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 7d | qqqmmmccc | $200M | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,764 | −$29 −1.6% | — |
| 8d | 999ssf2 fills | $1B | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $3,182 | +$95 +3.0% | 2 |
| 8d |  getrichall | $1B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $4,810 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 8d | crypt-01 | $50M | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,526 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 |
| 8d | Choroo | $50M | SellNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,628 | −$46 −2.8% | — |
| 8d | meimeide | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,612 | −$21 −1.3% | 2 |
| 8d | 999ssf | $7B | BuyNo99¢ | $2,120 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 8d | chenyuanyi | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,100 | −$24 −1.1% | 2 |
| 8d | chenyuanyi | $800M | BuyNo98¢ | $1,058 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 8d | 999ssf | $50M | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,103 | +$50 +4.6% | 3 |
| 8d | 999ssf | $800M | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,363 | +$63 +4.6% | 2 |
| 9d | HEBI55 | $50M | BuyNo77¢ → 99¢ | $1,160 | +$334 +29% | 6 |
| 9d | vinii | $1B | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $3,535 | +$267 +7.6% | 2 |
| 44d | 1881aa | $1B | SellNo83¢ → 98¢ | $1,394 | −$237 −17% | — |
| 52d | cryptoincome | $1B | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,506 | +$127 +8.4% | 2 |
| 74d | mefirofan | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,217 | +$33 +2.7% | 2 |
| 74d | mefirofan | $1B | BuyNo88¢ → 98¢ | $1,498 | +$163 +11% | 2 |
| 104d | krippos2 fills | $10B | BuyNo99¢ | $4,398 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 107d | ginnger2 fills | $10B | SellNo99¢ | $4,598 | −$2 −0.0% | — |
| 109d | ginnger | $10B | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $3,204 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | bonnbrt | $10B | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $2,408 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 118d | dingguagua | $200M | BuyYes69¢ → 1¢ | $1,119 | −$1,097 −98% | 2 |
| 119d |  0xq0lt2 fills | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $6,938 | −$6 −0.1% | 2 |
| 120d |  bu66y | $10B | SellNo99¢ | $1,809 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 129d |  Hyperlong | $1B | BuyNo84¢ → 98¢ | $6,958 | +$1,128 +16% | 2 |
| 130d | bu66y | $10B | BuyNo99¢ | $1,944 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 135d |  iotys | $10B | BuyNo99¢ | $1,942 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 166d |  n00k1 | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $5,007 | −$18 −0.4% | 2 |
| 172d |  dosyya2 fills | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $6,816 | −$24 −0.4% | 2 |
| 181d |  b0rpie | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,256 | −$4 −0.4% | 2 |
| 181d |  cedt0n2 fills | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,347 | −$8 −0.4% | 2 |
| 192d | hellodi | $1B | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $3,000 | +$185 +6.2% | 2 |
| 192d | mandy-cool-down | $1B | SellNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,172 | −$99 −8.4% | — |
| 201d | tradexplorer | $1B | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,080 | +$78 +7.3% | 2 |
| 207d |  v1nnee | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,021 | −$7 −0.4% | 2 |
| 207d | sswwmmii | $2B | SellNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,847 | −$138 −7.4% | — |
| 208d | blanketxs84 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,020 | −$28 −2.8% | — |
| 208d | blanketxs84 | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,022 | +$28 +2.8% | 2 |
| 208d | Fliphamster | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,134 | −$34 −3.0% | — |
| 208d | warm76 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,221 | −$37 −3.0% | — |
| 208d | random-window | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,204 | −$36 −3.0% | — |
| 208d | sadnessfp14 | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,089 | −$52 −4.8% | — |
| 208d | sadnessfp14 | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,089 | +$52 +4.8% | 3 |
| 208d | fame-industry | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,338 | −$64 −4.8% | — |
| 208d | fame-industry | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,163 | +$56 +4.8% | 3 |
| 208d | Kidney.Visit.Soldier | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,182 | +$57 +4.8% | 3 |
| 208d | dwarf-midnight | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,275 | −$58 −4.6% | — |
| 208d | Average86 | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,237 | −$59 −4.8% | — |
| 208d | couch737 | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,201 | −$55 −4.6% | — |
| 208d | fitness-kit-immune | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,245 | −$57 −4.6% | — |
| 208d | street-equip-ethics | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,119 | −$51 −4.6% | — |
| 208d | sorrysm15 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,112 | −$35 −3.1% | — |
| 208d | Cruel7154 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,220 | −$42 −3.4% | — |
| 208d | Begin-Way-East | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,178 | −$40 −3.4% | — |
DOG-UndressedVersion1,132 shares
LornaPredicts800 shares
Akhmed334380 sharesgetrichall5,346 shares
largeleeks8883,465 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 2%.