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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 0% | −2 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $40M | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $2M | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $5M | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $60M | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $10M | 0% | −4 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $80M | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $100M | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275d |  beenraping | $20M | SellNo>99¢ | $22,611 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 275d | mlinw2 fills | $5M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,165 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 275d |  Ironmankingdom | $2M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,197 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 275d | mannicorp | $2M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,439 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 275d | rovad | $2M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 275d |  Cointraders | $5M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,147 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | Cointraders | $20M | SellNo>99¢ | $5,233 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 276d |  munchysmoochies | $2M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,247 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | bean1252 fills | $2M | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,330 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d | FullyLiquidated | $2M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,787 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | C03B | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d |  drogo69 | $2M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,630 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | C03B | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,784 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 276d |  dirk2 fills | $2M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,566 | +$454 +13% | 2 |
| 276d | beenraping | $10M | BuyNo100¢ | $9,349 | +$47 +0.5% | 2 |
| 276d |  prescient | $10M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 276d | BothTeamToScore | $2M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$33 +1.6% | 2 |
| 276d | beenraping2 fills | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,270 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d | drogo69 | $2M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 |
| 276d | prescient | $60M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,245 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 276d | prescient | $2M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,008 | +$124 +3.1% | 2 |
| 276d |  Infringe2 fills | $2M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$67 +3.2% | 2 |
| 276d |  Burnmoneyuser | $5M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | +$27 +1.0% | 2 |
| 276d | stealer | $5M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 276d | stealer | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,905 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 276d | BothTeamToScore | $5M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,163 | +$36 +1.7% | 2 |
| 276d | bean125 | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,908 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | bean125 | $80M | SellNo>99¢ | $11,337 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | Midcurver | $2M | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$125 −11% | — |
| 276d | dirk | $2M | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | −$118 −6.4% | — |
| 276d | Niudad | $10M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,533 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 |
| 276d | 0xdamocles | $2M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | −$60 −4.2% | — |
| 276d | DM7622 | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,775 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 276d | DM7622 | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,373 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 276d | Burnmoneyuser | $2M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,667 | +$111 +4.2% | 2 |
| 276d | 0xdamocles | $2M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,713 | +$143 +5.3% | 2 |
| 276d | Tv12345 | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,003 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 276d |  dukunmarket | $10M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 276d |  reroro | $2M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$74 +6.2% | 2 |
| 276d | ysuidust | $20M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 276d | Ironmankingdom | $2M | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$103 +8.7% | 2 |
| 276d |  0xLoneStar | $2M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$389 +7.8% | 2 |
| 276d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $5M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | +$41 +2.3% | 2 |
| 276d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $20M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,731 | +$52 +0.9% | 2 |
| 276d | DamagedCopperLeopon | $20M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 276d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $2M | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,120 | +$681 +11% | 2 |
| 276d | 0x22c5…16df | $20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 276d | onekey09 | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,380 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d | onekey09 | $60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,570 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d | onekey09 | $5M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,241 | +$191 +3.7% | 2 |
| 276d | onekey09 | $10M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,534 | +$175 +1.3% | 2 |
| 276d | onekey09 | $20M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,731 | +$109 +1.0% | 2 |
| 276d | zxiddio | $80M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,338 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 276d | JohnWitcher | $2M | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$151 +11% | 2 |
| 276d | deret | $20M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 276d |  CertifiedCRY | $2M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$196 +13% | 2 |
| 276d | 0x22c5…16df | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 276d | dmansat | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d |  Remoon | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,567 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 276d | kobie3 | $100M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,163 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Trove's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Trove doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $20M means the market gives it about 0%.